Part of: Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Solstice’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable for launch to count. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,244 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including a recent alert that an undefeated crypto bettor is buying YES.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,244.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Solstice, fdv

Notable Trades

Undefeated crypto bettor buying YES

Worth surfacing despite modest size because an undefeated, highly profitable wallet is taking a fresh YES position in a relatively thin crypto FDV market.

  • This bettor has won all 8 resolved bets and is up about $129K lifetime.
  • The $1.1K buy was over half of recent market volume, suggesting real conviction in a thin order book.
  • They have put $5.8K across 2 Solstice markets, pointing to a broader launch-valuation thesis.

$1,051 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,193 | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1fe4...afbb Yes, $12,040
  2. 0x1635...5624 No, $8,602 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xf97e...0034 Yes, $7,839 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xd983...3230 Yes, $7,491
  5. 0x90ad...18f4 No, $7,269
  6. 0x0826...0b32 No, $5,000 (62% win rate)
  7. 0xe51e...5e7f Yes, $3,348 (59% win rate)
  8. 0xafce...c2f6 No, $3,154 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x6138...97a0 No, $2,140 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xc456...8996 No, $2,055 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

231dSolstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?$2,244 tracked2 signalsCryptoPre-MarketSolsticefdv
Yes
32¢
No
68¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No
76¢
71¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

8d ago

$1,051 on Yes at 28¢

28¢32¢4¢

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

15d ago

$1,193

Related Theses