Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,602.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

78% win-rate bettor

A proven high-win-rate sports trader with 407 resolved bets bought Spirit at 77¢ and the market has already moved to 86¢, suggesting this is a sharp directional entry worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 407 resolved trades and is up $42k overall.
  • They bought Spirit at 77¢, and the market has already moved to 86¢ in their favor.
  • This wallet has bet across 49 events and 51 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports trading edge.

$1,289 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

89% win-rate cluster bettor

A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor joined a 9-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Team Falcons into a major one-sided flow signal despite the price now sitting below their 59¢ entry.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $425k across 476 bets
  • Nine wallets all bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling about $30.9k, with some wallets linked to the same funder
  • They paid 59¢ and the market is now 46¢, offering a cheaper follow price than the sharp wallet got

$1,417 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 89%

9-wallet Falcons cluster

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 9-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Team Falcons into a major one-sided flow signal, making this worth surfacing despite the current price moving below their entry.

  • 9 wallets piled into Team Falcons for $30.9k, and 2 of them share a funder
  • This wallet wins 71% of resolved bets and has traded 28 markets across 26 events
  • They paid 58¢, while Team Falcons now trade at 46¢, offering a cheaper follow price than the original entry

$2,962 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 71%

3-wallet Spirit cluster

Three wallets piled into Spirit for $12.4k during a 22x pre-match volume spike, led by a serial cross-market bettor with nearly $1M deployed across 91 events, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching.

  • Three wallets bought Spirit at 48-53¢ for $12.4k total in a coordinated burst.
  • The market saw a 22x jump in trading versus normal activity, and Spirit has already moved up to 52¢.
  • One wallet is a very active cross-market bettor with 114 resolved markets and $27k profit, suggesting this was not random action.

$12,441 on Spirit

9-wallet Falcons cluster

A 4-day-old wallet is part of a 9-wallet, partially linked cluster that put nearly $31k on Team Falcons during a major volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction worth tracking despite no proven track record yet.

  • Nine wallets all bought Team Falcons, totaling about $30.9k, and 2 of them share a funder
  • This wallet is only 4 days old but has already made 8 flagged large bets totaling $26.6k
  • Market volume ran nearly 29x above normal as this cluster piled in around 51¢

$3,473 on Team Falcons

4-wallet Spirit pile-in

Coordinated buying by 4 wallets on Spirit, led by a large profitable cross-market bettor, makes this a notable esports position despite the market being liquid.

  • Four wallets all bought Spirit for $26.8k total, showing clear one-sided conviction.
  • This wallet is up $131k lifetime across 704 resolved bets, so the buyer has a real track record.
  • They entered at 42¢ and the price is already 47¢, with a 42x event-wide volume spike confirming strong interest.

$4,127 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 56%

90% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports trader with a 90% win rate and over $1.07M in profits bought Spirit at 41¢ during a notable pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $1.07M across 196 resolved markets.
  • They bought Spirit at 41¢, a price that offers strong upside if their track record holds.
  • This came during a 27x pre-match volume spike, showing money was rushing into this market.

$10,169 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate bought Team Falcons at 59¢ during an unusual pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $184.8k across 69 resolved positions.
  • They have a long track record across 127 markets and bought Team Falcons at 59¢.
  • Match volume is running 241x above its historical norm, showing strong money flowing in before the game.

$5,926 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%

3 sharp wallets aligned

Three profitable wallets with strong long-term records all lined up on Team Falcons around 59-60¢, including one bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.07M profit.

  • Three wallets all bought Team Falcons within minutes, putting $17.4k behind the same side.
  • The strongest wallet wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $1.07M lifetime.
  • They entered around 59-60¢, suggesting they saw Falcons as mispriced despite a deep, active market.

$17,371 on Team Falcons

90% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports trader with a 90% win rate and over $1.07M in profits bought Spirit at 42¢ into an unusual pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime across 196 settled positions.
  • They trade heavily across sports markets — 364 markets and $10.8M staked — which makes this look like a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet.
  • They bought Spirit at 42¢ while this market saw a 165x volume spike, suggesting they see Spirit as meaningfully mispriced.

$4,127 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 58932827, $49,729 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x47a8...52f9 Outcome 58932827, $47,552 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x99e4...e4c4 Outcome 58932827, $43,334 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xa643...d43d Outcome 40344658, $31,523 (84% win rate)
  5. 0xdd54...b245 Outcome 58932827, $22,234 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x5c3a...020b Outcome 40344658, $20,000 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 58932827, $18,113 (86% win rate)
  8. 0xbb94...243c Outcome 58932827, $17,766 (71% win rate)
  9. 0xea79...a9cc Outcome 58932827, $14,287 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 58932827, $11,861 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Resolved$99,602 tracked16 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Spirit in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 18 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,289 on Spirit at 77¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,417 on Team Falcons at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$2,962 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$12,441 on Spirit at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$3,473 on Team Falcons at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,127 on Spirit at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$10,169 on Spirit at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$5,926 on Team Falcons at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$17,371 on Team Falcons at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,127 on Spirit at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$6,360 on Team Falcons at 27¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$22,239 on Spirit at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,027 on Spirit at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,963 on Spirit at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2d ago

$1,810 on Spirit at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2d ago

$2,899 on Spirit at 37¢

Related Theses