Part of: Thunder vs. Lakers
Thunder vs. Lakers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 10:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,167,717.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable live-game flipper
Profitable high-volume sports trader flipped into Thunder at 83¢ during a volatile, high-volume move and the market quickly moved to 100%.
- This bettor is up $682K lifetime across more than 40,000 resolved markets.
- They flipped from a larger Lakers position into Thunder at 83¢ during a sharp live price move.
- They were active across 5 related markets with $32.5K in same-event exposure.
$3,121 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor bought Thunder at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, with a long 314-bet track record and strong cross-market history.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $316,716 lifetime.
- They are a heavy sports-market regular, trading across 595 events with $7.15M total volume.
- Bought Thunder at 90¢ before it moved to 100¢, showing well-timed conviction.
$3,800 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 58%
94% winner joins Thunder cluster
Elite 94% winning bettor bought Thunder, backed by a large 30-wallet same-direction flow despite the market falling after entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $238k lifetime.
- 30 wallets bought Thunder in the same direction for $215k total, including linked wallets.
- They entered at 69¢, but the market is now near 50¢ after a sharp move down.
$4,015 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial bettor in cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 30-wallet Thunder buy cluster, though the position is currently underwater after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,218 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $4.8M in lifetime profit.
- 30 wallets bought Thunder the same way, totaling about $215K, with some linked funding.
- This entry was at 75¢, but Thunder has since fallen to 50¢, so the signal is notable but currently underwater.
$1,820 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial bettor follows cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a large one-sided Thunder flow, though the position is currently down sharply from 79¢ to 50¢.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 70% wins across 5,047 resolved bets and about $2.87M in profit.
- 30 wallets have bought Thunder the same way, totaling about $215K, with some linked funding.
- The entry was 79¢ but Thunder is now around 50¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper price than this sharp bettor paid.
$1,483 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 67%
27-wallet Thunder cluster
A massive 27-wallet Thunder buy cluster, including linked funding and several highly profitable/serial sports traders, moved the price sharply in a liquid NBA market.
- 27 wallets put $268K behind Thunder, with 9 wallets sharing a funder.
- Several proven traders are in the flow, including bettors with 94% records across 179 and 32 resolved positions.
- Thunder was bought heavily from 51¢–61¢ and has already moved to 74¢, suggesting strong conviction despite a liquid market.
$268,443 on Thunder
Profitable trader joins Lakers cluster
High-score Lakers buy from a highly profitable serial trader, reinforced by 29-wallet same-side flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across nearly 3,000 resolved bets.
- 29 wallets bought Lakers the same way, totaling $133,888 in one-sided flow.
- The wallet flipped after closing a much larger Thunder position, suggesting a changed view.
$1,111 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 61%
29-wallet Lakers cluster
High-scoring coordinated Lakers flow from 29 wallets, but this specific wallet has negative lifetime P&L and the entry is now far underwater.
- 29 wallets bought Lakers in the same direction for $133,888, including 4 linked by a shared funder.
- This bettor is a very active cross-market trader with 372 resolved bets and a 69% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- The buy was at 49¢ and the market has since moved to 26¢, so this is a distressed follow rather than a clean momentum entry.
$4,841 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial trader with cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Lakers at 41¢ alongside a 24-wallet one-sided flow that pushed the market up to 50¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,218 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $4.8M in lifetime profit.
- 24 wallets are all buying Lakers in the same window, totaling about $151K.
- The Lakers price has already moved from 41¢ to 50¢, with a 47x volume spike backing the move.
$1,185 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 64%
Linked cluster with elite bettor
Strong Thunder-side cluster: 16 wallets put $164k behind the same outcome, including linked funding and a 94% winner with major lifetime profit.
- A 16-wallet cluster put $164k on the same side, with 6 wallets sharing a funder.
- One bettor in the flow wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $723k lifetime.
- Most entries were around 51–63¢ before the price moved to 72¢, so the edge is less attractive after the move.
$163,762 on Thunder
Top Holders
- 0x2580...1d56 — Lakers, $207,182 (49% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Lakers, $167,567 (53% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Lakers, $105,678 (79% win rate)
- 0xc6b1...78fd — Lakers, $101,042 (92% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Lakers, $90,156 (72% win rate)
- 0x8516...93a0 — Lakers, $71,976 (22% win rate)
- 0x8c80...6508 — Lakers, $40,880 (50% win rate)
- 0xafe4...f3f7 — Lakers, $25,904 (94% win rate)
- 0x6eb7...a0f1 — Lakers, $19,596 (60% win rate)
- 0x17c4...02fd — Lakers, $19,515 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
HANJIN BRION sweeps series
Covers 3 related markets
