Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,843.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

95% winner buying underdog

A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is leading a same-direction Sweden position across multiple related markets, backed by coordinated flow and a major event-volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $6.1M is buying Sweden around 22–24¢.
  • Three wallets are all taking the same Sweden side, totaling $10.3K in this spread market.
  • This is part of a much larger event thesis: the sharp wallet has traded 4 related markets and $130K on the same game.

$10,343 on Sweden

Perfect 21-for-21 bettor

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a perfect 21/21 resolved record with positive P&L and is buying Sweden at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved trades and is up $4.3k lifetime.
  • They are backing Sweden at 60¢, meaning Netherlands does not win by 3+ goals.
  • The market is highly liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s unusually strong track record.

$1,290 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

High-conviction Sweden spread buy from a profitable serial cross-market trader, backed by same-side wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 66% of resolved bets and is up $416K lifetime.
  • They put $26.8K on Sweden, adding to a five-wallet same-side flow worth $50.8K.
  • Market activity spiked 340x ahead of the match, suggesting broader positioning on this side.

$26,821 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp cluster driving breakout

Three wallets bought $20k of Netherlands as the market broke sharply upward, including one bettor with a 93% record and another with strong lifetime profit.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved bets joined this move and is up $8.3K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $20.4K of Netherlands in the same direction as the price surged from around 41¢ to 80¢.
  • Market volume is 58x normal, suggesting a real pre-game information or momentum shift.

$20,389 on Netherlands

88% win-rate spread bettor

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 88% record made a $5k buy on Sweden +2.5 despite only a modest signal score.

  • This bettor has won 88% of resolved bets and is up about $3,024 lifetime.
  • They put $5,000 on Sweden +2.5 at 86¢, showing meaningful conviction on the favorite cover not happening.
  • Their past wins came at average odds of 70%, so the record is stronger than simply backing huge favorites.

$5,000 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3496...8fc4 Outcome 77145314, $205,494 (66% win rate)
  2. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 77145314, $35,364 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 77145314, $7,828 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 77145314, $7,425 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x945a...a881 Outcome 77145314, $5,814 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x806e...2e52 Outcome 77145314, $4,168 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x1e98...0bbf Outcome 77145314, $3,083 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xaa4c...7bfd Outcome 77145314, $2,432 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x83d9...10d9 Outcome 77145314, $2,396 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x0fce...63d5 Outcome 77145314, $2,394 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

England routs Croatia

Covers 3 related markets

Sweden beats Netherlands low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Spurs beat the Knicks

Covers 1 related market

Portugal fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Qatar Switzerland stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Spurs won't win 2026 Finals

Covers 1 related market

Wales win on June 6

Covers 1 related market

Brazil will win June 13

Covers 1 related market

Morocco scores in low-scoring match

Covers 2 related markets

Hungary Kazakhstan exceeds 3.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

ResolvedNetherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets$63,843 tracked5 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

13h ago

$10,343 on Sweden at 22¢

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

14h ago

$1,290 on Sweden at 60¢

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

14h ago

$26,821 on Sweden at 52¢

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

13h ago

$20,389 on Netherlands at 45¢

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

23h ago

$5,000 on Sweden at 86¢

Related Theses