Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,688.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor flips No

Profitable high-volume wallet has flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No while also positioning across four Eurovision markets.

This bettor has 835 resolved trades and is up about $174K lifetime.
They previously held Yes here but closed it and is now buying No at 36¢.
They have $20K spread across 4 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

New wallet buying thin market

A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, including a $3.5k Yes buy that dwarfed recent volume in a thin Eurovision market.

A brand-new wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $6.7k flagged across 3 trades.
This $3.5k buy was over 8x the market’s prior 24h volume and about 63% of available liquidity.
They bought Yes at 69¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable new wallet betting No

A 2-day-old wallet with unusually strong early profits and repeated large bets bought No at 22¢, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite this being a modestly liquid market.

This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 12 times, with $45k in large bets and about $65k in profit
It has won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far, an unusually strong start for a brand-new account
They bought No at 22¢, implying they think Ukraine misses the top 10 more often than the market does

$1,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%