Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,196.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

75% win-rate event bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate bought Team Falcons during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up nearly $60k across 126 resolved bets.
  • They trade across many related markets and events — 28 markets over 25 events — which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
  • The buy came during a 152x volume spike, and entry at 65¢ suggests they still saw value even after heavy action.

$1,127 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 76%

92% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 92% win rate and $117.7k profit is buying Team Falcons at 66¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $117.7k across 48 resolved markets.
  • They bought Team Falcons at 66¢ after a 19-point one-day move, showing they still see value even after the market shifted.
  • The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than noise in a thin book.

$1,670 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

97% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate and $125k profit just bought Team Yandex, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 35 of 36 resolved markets and is up about $125k overall
  • They have made 45 bets across 36 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Team Yandex at 61¢, with the market now around 59-60¢

$1,090 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable new wallet buying spike

A repeatedly flagged new wallet with early profits bought Team Yandex during an extreme pre-match volume spike and is already in the money.

  • This 19-day-old wallet has already been flagged 9 times, with $31k in notable bets and early profits of $6.5k.
  • They bought Team Yandex at 57¢ during a huge pre-match volume surge, and the market has already moved up to 60¢.
  • The bet is meaningful but not market-moving in a fairly liquid market, so the main signal is the wallet's repeat conviction plus the volume spike.

$1,974 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 100%

96% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $2.0M in profit is taking Team Falcons at 43¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime
  • They've made nearly 390 bets across 286 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Team Falcons at 43¢ while the market now prices Falcons around 44%, showing fresh conviction from a proven winner

$5,334 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10333901, $7,690 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x976c...c3ca Outcome 10333901, $4,850
  3. 0x4574...273d Outcome 10333901, $3,947
  4. 0x60c3...5947 Outcome 10333901, $3,810 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 10333901, $3,739
  6. 0x8120...54c9 Outcome 10333901, $2,331 (39% win rate)
  7. 0x9e64...89c3 Outcome 10333901, $2,254 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x730e...fca0 Outcome 10333901, $641
  9. 0xe82c...5794 Outcome 10333901, $540
  10. 0x4884...1310 Outcome 10333901, $487

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved$11,196 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,127 on Team Falcons at 65¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,670 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,090 on Team Yandex at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,974 on Team Yandex at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$5,334 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Related Theses