Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 11, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $636,596.
Categories: Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp profitable bettor
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with an 86% win record bought a large Mexico Yes position before the price moved from 87¢ to 96¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $269k lifetime.
- They bought $14.8k of Mexico Yes at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 96¢.
- The wallet has beaten average odds by about 20 points across 140 resolved bets.
$14,790 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp cluster buying No
A large coordinated cluster is buying Mexico No, led by a wallet with a perfect 21-for-21 resolved record and nearly $800k profit.
- A bettor with a perfect 21-for-21 record and about $800k profit bought nearly $11k of No at 15¢.
- 10 wallets moved the same way for about $50k, including several linked wallets and repeat cross-market traders.
- Selling Yes at 86¢ is equivalent to buying No at 14¢, implying they see upside if Mexico fails to win.
$49,696 on No
78% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $6.5k of Mexico Yes into strong upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $12.8k lifetime.
- They have a long pattern across 30 events, with $200.9k in flagged cross-market bets.
- Mexico odds are up 17 points today, and this buy adds at 87¢ into the move.
$6,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Linked wallets chasing steam
A small linked-wallet cluster is buying Mexico amid a 14x volume spike and a 17-point odds move, though the individual wallet’s track record is only modest.
- Two wallets funded by the same source have put about $5.1K on the same side.
- Mexico’s odds are up 17 points in the last day amid a 14x volume spike.
- This wallet has been flagged repeatedly and is slightly profitable, up about $6.2K lifetime.
$2,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp-backed NO cluster
Seven wallets took the contrarian No side for $33k, including a profitable 78% winner, though most of the flow was via selling Yes and the market has since moved against them.
- Seven wallets put $33k on Mexico not winning, a coordinated contrarian bet against a 96% favorite.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 78% of its resolved bets and is up $28.9k lifetime.
- The cluster entered No around 14¢, while the same side is now available near 4¢.
$33,241 on No
Sharp funded cluster buying YES
High-composite alert driven by a profitable 76% winner, linked-wallet cluster activity, a 22x volume spike, and a 17-point move toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $22k lifetime.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Yes has jumped 17 points amid a 22x volume spike, and this wallet still bought at 86¢.
$12,643 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
91% sharp sports bettor
Sharp wallet with a 91% win rate and $680k lifetime profit bought Mexico Yes amid strong price momentum and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $680,899 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events with the same 91% win rate.
- Mexico Yes has moved up 17 points with a 22x volume spike, matching the bettor’s direction.
$1,212 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% winner last-minute No
Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought $43.7k of No seconds before resolution alongside a 14-wallet one-sided cluster.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.95M lifetime.
- They bought $43.7k of No less than 1 minute before resolution.
- 14 wallets are all betting No, totaling $138k in the same direction.
$43,683 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial timer buying NO
High-conviction No bet from a profitable serial timer, reinforced by 14-wallet one-sided flow near resolution.
- This bettor is up $1.84M across 115 resolved markets and often bets right near resolution.
- 14 wallets are all buying No, with $138K in same-direction flow and linked funding behind part of the cluster.
- Entry at 32¢ implies they see Mexico failing to win as meaningfully underpriced.
$11,021 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable new wallet in NO cluster
High-conviction live sports NO bet from a profitable 5-day-old repeat wallet, placed 1.2 minutes before resolution alongside a 14-wallet same-direction cluster.
- A 5-day-old wallet with $10.9K profit is making another late bet after 4 prior large-bet flags.
- 14 wallets are all buying No, totaling $138K in same-direction flow.
- The trade landed 1.2 minutes before resolution, suggesting a real-time live-game edge.
$4,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%
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