Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,098.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports trader catching steam
A high-volume serial sports trader with 238 resolved bets bought Rublev before a sharp late price jump, suggesting actionable momentum despite only a moderate historical hit rate.
- This wallet has made 238 resolved bets across 44 events, so this is an experienced repeat trader rather than a random one-off.
- They bought Rublev at 88¢ before the price moved to 92¢, catching a 21-point market jump early.
- Market volume is surging and Rublev is already a heavy favorite, which points to fast consensus rather than a contrarian stab.
$2,953 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 69%
3-wallet Rublev pile-in
Three wallets piled into Rublev within minutes, including two profitable high-volume bettors, and their buying moved the price sharply from the mid-60s to 78¢.
- Three wallets all backed Rublev within about 2 minutes for $11.8k total, pushing the price from 66-67¢ to 78¢
- Two of the wallets have strong records, including one with a 71% win rate across 609 resolved bets and $270k profit
- They got in well below the current 78¢ market, suggesting they saw Rublev as meaningfully underpriced before the move
$11,829 on Andrey Rublev
71% winner in 5-wallet cluster
A high-volume serial cross-market winner with a 71% hit rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Rublev during a major pre-match volume surge, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has won 71% of 609 resolved bets and is up about $271k lifetime
- 5 wallets all bought Andrey Rublev, putting nearly $20.8k on the same side
- The market saw a 25x volume spike, and this wallet bought at 66¢ with Rublev now near 64¢
$1,237 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 72%
94% win-rate underdog bettor
A bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge bought Nuno Borges at 42¢ during a volume and price surge, suggesting a sharp contrarian position worth watching.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and has made about $7.5k profit on just 18 settled positions
- They bought Nuno Borges at 42¢, which now looks cheap versus the current 34¢ market price
- The trade hit during a 20.7x volume spike and a fast 11.5-point move, showing real conviction behind the bet
$3,475 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 96%
77% winner buys dip
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 77% win rate bought Rublev into a sharp pre-match price dislocation, making this a credible copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 77% of 935 resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime
- They've traded 230 markets across 187 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge
- Bought Andrey Rublev at 58¢ after a 24-point drop during a 15.3x volume spike, suggesting they viewed the selloff as mispriced
$5,797 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 73%
7-wallet funded cluster
Seven linked wallets funded by the same address are building the same Nuno Borges position, and this wallet got in before a 15-point price jump.
- Seven linked wallets funded by the same address have put about $2.9k on the same side of this match
- This buy came at 30¢ before Nuno Borges moved up to 34%, alongside a 15-point market jump
- The wallet’s hit rate is only 45%, but it has still generated about $444k in profit across a very large sample
$1,469 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 45%
7-wallet Borges cluster
Seven linked wallets funded by the same source are piling into Nuno Borges, and this wallet bought at 15¢ before the price doubled to 30%, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the trader's weak standalone win rate.
- Seven linked wallets from the same funder are betting the same side, which is a strong coordination signal
- This wallet bought Nuno Borges at 15¢ and the market quickly moved to 30¢, locking in a big early edge
- The bet is small versus market liquidity, but the synchronized cluster matters more than this wallet's mixed 45% hit rate
$1,462 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 45%
Linked sharp cluster on Borges
A linked 4-wallet cluster with one elite 93% win-rate bettor collectively flipped into Nuno Borges around 15-20¢, helping drive a fast price jump in a major tennis market.
- Four linked wallets put $7.1k on Nuno Borges, including one bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades.
- They bought Borges at 15-20¢ and sold Rublev at 79-85¢, a strong contrarian stance versus the market favorite.
- The move came with a 13x volume spike and pushed Borges up about 11.5 points in two minutes.
$7,111 on Nuno Borges
Linked sharp cluster on Borges
Three linked wallets piled into Nuno Borges, including one bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge, during a major pre-match volume spike.
- A 3-wallet cluster bought Nuno Borges for $6.9k, with entries from 30¢ to 42¢ before the price moved to 36¢
- One wallet in the group wins 94% of resolved bets and has beaten the odds by a wide margin
- These wallets are part of a 7-wallet linked funding cluster, and the market saw a 25x pre-match volume surge
$6,889 on Nuno Borges
Sharp tennis underdog buyer
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate bought the underdog at 27¢ into a pre-match volume surge, and the price has already moved in their favor to 20¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up $1.73M lifetime across 935 resolved bets
- They trade heavily across related markets and events, with $1.54M deployed over 228 markets
- Bought Nuno Borges at 27¢ and the market is now 20¢, so the trade is already moving their way
$2,325 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 72245483, $21,642 (73% win rate)
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Outcome 72245483, $19,984 (70% win rate)
- 0xf402...df7c — Outcome 72245483, $19,853 (96% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 72245483, $16,267 (66% win rate)
- 0x153a...9d6d — Outcome 72245483, $14,441 (59% win rate)
- 0x43be...5000 — Outcome 63108077, $9,942 (75% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 72245483, $6,000
- 0x820a...ca12 — Outcome 72245483, $5,936 (33% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 72245483, $4,549 (71% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 72245483, $4,327 (69% win rate)
