Part of: Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego

Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,233.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven profitable sports trader bought Sonego at 90¢ ahead of a large price move to 100¢, with supporting volume spike and price-impact signals.

This bettor has 2,540 resolved trades and is up $152K lifetime.
They have traded across 111 sports events with a 72% win rate.
Their Sonego buy at 90¢ came during a 17.9x volume spike and a 40-point price move.

$1,006 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable tennis mover

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Sonego before a sharp 40-point move to 100%, with supporting market-wide volume spike.

This bettor has a large track record: 60% wins across 2,783 resolved bets and $58.8K lifetime profit.
Their 83¢ Sonego buy came before a 40-point move to 100%, suggesting they caught the decisive market move.
Volume spiked 17.9x around the trade, adding support that informed money was piling into the same side.

$1,660 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 61%

99% win-rate tennis sharp

Elite 99% win-rate tennis bettor bought Lorenzo Sonego at 72¢ before a move to 82¢, backed by a major pre-event volume spike and price impact.

This bettor has won 812 of 819 resolved bets and is up $469k lifetime.
They bought Lorenzo Sonego at 72¢ before the market jumped to 82¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 215 events with a 99% hit rate.

$2,261 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 99%

Heavy momentum into favorite

Surface as a momentum alert: Sonego has a major volume spike and sharp price move, though the specific wallet lacks a profitable track record.

Money is rushing into this side: volume is 42x normal and Sonego’s price is up 31%.
The buyer entered at 81¢, close to the current 82¢ market price.
This is more of a market-momentum signal than a sharp-wallet signal; the bettor’s lifetime P&L is negative.

$1,620 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 56%

Coordinated Sonego flow

High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided Sonego buying, a major pre-event volume spike, and sharp price movement despite the individual wallet's weak lifetime P&L.

Four wallets are buying the same side, totaling $18.3K, with two wallets linked by funding.
Volume jumped 167x versus normal and Sonego’s price moved sharply upward before the match.
The market has pulled back below the flagged 77¢ entry, making the same thesis available cheaper now.

$2,000 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable whale plus linked cluster

Strong coordinated Sonego buying from a profitable high-volume trader and linked one-sided cluster, with the price already moving sharply from 38% to 68%.

This bettor is up $4.1M lifetime across more than 47,000 resolved trades.
Four wallets bought the same side for $18.3K, including two linked wallets.
Sonego moved from a 38¢ entry to 68¢ after the buying pressure.

$1,136 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp wallets split market

Worth surfacing because a 91% winner and a highly profitable high-volume bettor both bought Navone, though the market has since moved sharply against them and opposing Sonego flow is notable.

One Navone buyer wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $31k lifetime.
A major profitable bettor also bought Navone at 33¢ and is up $16.2M lifetime across many markets.
The setup is conflicted: Navone has fallen from the 50–60¢ range to 32¢ while another linked cluster is buying Sonego.

$15,229 on Mariano Navone

93% winning sports sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and broad cross-market history bought $8.3k of Lorenzo Sonego at 61¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $66,966 lifetime.
They have traded 45 events and $1.33M across related markets, showing a long-running sports edge.
An $8.3k buy at 61¢ backs Lorenzo Sonego as a confident favorite in a liquid market.

$8,321 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 41175496, $9,531 (69% win rate)
0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 41175496, $4,194 (100% win rate)
0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 41175496, $3,417 (39% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 41175496, $2,077 (61% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 41175496, $1,532 (94% win rate)
0x0ee5...e798 — Outcome 41175496, $1,518 (87% win rate)
0xdeff...78f8 — Outcome 41175496, $1,442 (97% win rate)
0xc181...0992 — Outcome 41175496, $1,436 (90% win rate)
0x9b90...5fb9 — Outcome 41175496, $1,352 (100% win rate)
0xa317...344d — Outcome 41175496, $1,121 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego

ResolvedMallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego$33,233 tracked8 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.