What is the Fearnley vs Mpetshi Perricard prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance from the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match: Jacob Fearnley or Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

When does the Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard market resolve?

The listed resolution date is May 13, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. The market resolves to the player who advances, assuming the match is played under the market rules.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this match?

PolySpotter is tracking $14,462 in smart money and 3 signals for this market, including a sharp cluster buying Fearnley early and a serial sports winner signal.

What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?

According to the market description, if the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond the specified window, resolution may follow the market’s cancellation or delay rules rather than simply resolving to a player.

Where can I follow Fearnley vs Mpetshi Perricard Polymarket odds?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor the market page for smart money alerts, wallet activity, and prediction market movement on Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

This Polymarket market covers who will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Jacob Fearnley and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $14,462 in smart money across 3 signals, including early sharp buying on Fearnley and underdog interest from a newer tennis wallet. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 13, 2026, based on which player advances.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,462.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New tennis wallet backing underdog

A 3-day-old wallet with repeated sizable bets and early profit is taking a fresh underdog position in a liquid tennis market.

This new wallet is only 3 days old but has already placed $8.1K in flagged bets.
The bettor is up $1.3K on $4.2K invested so far, though the track record is still very short.
Entry at 19¢ backs a clear underdog with about 5.3x gross payout if it wins.

$1,900 on Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster bought Fearnley early

Three wallets bought $11k of Jacob Fearnley into a 174x pre-event volume spike, including a profitable high-volume tennis bettor, and the price has already moved sharply from 62-67¢ to 82¢.

Three wallets put $11k on Jacob Fearnley before the market jumped from 62-67¢ to 82¢.
The lead bettor has a 62% record across 227 resolved bets and is up $482k lifetime.
Volume spiked 174x above normal, suggesting a meaningful pre-match move rather than routine betting.

$11,040 on Jacob Fearnley

76% serial sports winner

Proven profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and extensive cross-market history is buying Fearnley at 61¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $403K lifetime.
They have traded across 63 events with $157K in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 61¢ is close to current market, with a tight 1¢ spread and solid liquidity.

$1,522 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x9a8c...ba13 — Outcome 57747617, $22,106 (68% win rate)
0x9c87...2e1c — Outcome 57747617, $16,516 (81% win rate)
0x5714...ae10 — Outcome 57747617, $15,032 (93% win rate)
0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 57747617, $11,156 (64% win rate)
0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 57747617, $10,100 (71% win rate)
0x187b...26bf — Outcome 57747617, $5,000 (46% win rate)
0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 57747617, $4,795 (76% win rate)
0x6982...a165 — Outcome 57747617, $3,311 (100% win rate)
0xe507...1258 — Outcome 57747617, $2,350
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 57747617, $2,067 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

1hInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$14,462 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.