Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,287.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate sharp

Surfaced because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history, despite the position moving sharply against them afterward.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $628K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 28 events, 35 markets, and $61K traded with the same 93% hit rate.
  • Entry at 24¢ was a high-upside underdog bet, though the market has since moved heavily against Aurora.

$1,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite 93% esports bettor

Elite profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate bought Aurora at 35¢ and the market quickly moved to 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $628k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 27 events, 34 markets, and a 93% hit rate.
  • They bought Aurora at 35¢ before a fast move to 53%, suggesting the market followed their entry.

$1,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Team Liquid despite the price later moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 88% hit rate.
  • Bought Team Liquid at 57¢, implying confidence despite the market now pricing them lower.

$1,500 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner backs underdog

Elite 98% win-rate wallet with $3.77M lifetime profit is buying Team Liquid despite Aurora being favored.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.77M lifetime.
  • They have a huge cross-market history: 341 events and $3.86M tracked volume.
  • Entry at 43¢ backs the underdog Team Liquid despite Aurora currently leading the market.

$2,036 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with meaningful lifetime profit bought Aurora during a rapid upward move, though the trade is modest and currently below entry.

  • This bettor is up $42.8K lifetime across more than $1M wagered.
  • They are highly active across 60 events and 107 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Aurora jumped 10.5 points in under 5 minutes around the trade, showing momentum behind the entry.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 56%

89% winner backs Aurora

Sharp esports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Aurora at 55¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $188.8K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 45 events, 58 markets, and $187K traded.
  • Buying Aurora at 55¢ suggests they see value despite the market already leaning slightly Aurora.

$1,983 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 89%

Elite 93% esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 93% win record and $2.6M profit bought Aurora at 54¢, making the wallet itself a strong copy-trade signal despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 407 events with a 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies they see Aurora as meaningfully better than a coin flip.

$1,374 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner backs Aurora

Elite sharp wallet with a 93% record and $1.3M profit bought $6,000 of Aurora at 54¢, reinforced by extensive successful cross-market activity.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 68 events with over $4.5M in tracked activity.
  • A $6,000 buy at 54¢ suggests they see Aurora as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$6,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

85% winner buying Aurora

Sharp esports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Aurora for nearly $3.9k at 54¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $19.2k lifetime.
  • They bought $3.9k of Aurora at 54¢ in a liquid, tight-spread market.
  • Their past wins came at 46¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced underdogs or near-coinflips.

$3,894 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 85%

93% win-rate esports sharp

Surface: a highly profitable 93% win-rate serial esports bettor placed a $20k Aurora buy, far larger than recent market activity.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
  • They put $20,000 on Aurora at 52¢, a large bet relative to this market’s activity.
  • This wallet has traded 165 related markets across 66 events with the same 93% win rate.

$20,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 75783394, $59,046 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x5c3a...020b Outcome 22417100, $20,000 (56% win rate)
  3. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 75783394, $16,602 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xc75a...1ab2 Outcome 75783394, $14,245 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 75783394, $11,340 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x0352...86b0 Outcome 75783394, $7,232 (85% win rate)
  7. 0xcf19...44b5 Outcome 75783394, $5,000
  8. 0xb517...434b Outcome 75783394, $3,592 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x6304...e570 Outcome 75783394, $3,343 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x4129...ce4f Outcome 75783394, $3,000

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$40,287 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Liquid in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

21h ago

$1,000 on Aurora at 24¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

21h ago

$1,000 on Aurora at 35¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

21h ago

$1,500 on Team Liquid at 57¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

21h ago

$2,036 on Team Liquid at 43¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

21h ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 61¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

23h ago

$1,983 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$1,374 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$6,000 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$3,894 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1d ago

$20,000 on Aurora at 52¢

Related Theses