Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market covers the Map 2 winner in the Counter-Strike PGL Astana Playoffs quarterfinal between FURIA and Team Falcons, scheduled for May 15. It resolves to FURIA if FURIA win Map 2, or Team Falcons if Team Falcons win Map 2; if Map 2 is not completed or does not occur, resolution follows the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $13,485 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent sharp activity on both FURIA and Team Falcons.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,972.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Experienced esports flow
Three experienced esports bettors pushed the same Team Falcons side for $11.6k, including two long-running profitable serial cross-market traders, though one leg looks like position management.
- Three wallets all backed Team Falcons for $11.6k in the same window.
- Two of the bettors are profitable over large samples, including one up $184.9k across 2,716 resolved bets.
- The flow came with a fast 10-point move toward Team Falcons, suggesting the market repriced quickly.
$11,625 on Team Falcons
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market esports trader is effectively adding to Team Falcons after a large FURIA sell amid a major price move.
- This bettor has a long record: 2,716 resolved bets, 60% winners, and $185k lifetime profit.
- They trade heavily across related markets, with 209 events and $530k in cross-market volume tracked.
- Selling FURIA at 31¢ is equivalent to buying Team Falcons at 69¢ after a sharp move against FURIA.
$1,861 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought FURIA despite a fast market move, with volume spiking sharply before the match.
- This bettor has won 70% of 86 resolved trades and is up $41,671 lifetime.
- They have traded across 53 events with $535,613 total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process.
- Market volume is running 21x above normal, and FURIA can currently be entered below this bettor’s 85¢ price.
$4,450 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable cluster buying underdog
Three wallets, including profitable high-volume esports traders, bought Team Falcons together during a sharp pre-event move, but the price has since moved heavily against their entries.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog outcome for $4.8K during a fast market move.
- All three wallets are profitable overall, including one up $128.8K across more than 2,000 resolved bets.
- Caution: they entered at 44¢–69¢ and Team Falcons is now around 19¢, so this is now a much cheaper but riskier follow.
$4,764 on Team Falcons
New esports whale caught move
A brand-new wallet bought Team Falcons at 30¢ before a sharp move to 82¢, with repeat flagged activity and early profitable history.
- A 3-hour-old wallet put nearly $2k on Team Falcons at 30¢ before the price jumped to 82¢.
- This is the wallet’s second large flagged bet, totaling about $4.9k in recent activity.
- The market moved 35 points toward the bettor’s side, suggesting they caught a major repricing.
$1,951 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial trader
A profitable high-volume serial trader bought FURIA at 50¢ before the market moved to 62¢, suggesting they caught a meaningful price edge.
- This bettor has traded 142 related markets across 116 events and is up $78K lifetime.
- They bought FURIA at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they saw FURIA as underpriced versus the current market view.
$5,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly active cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $57.7k profit bought FURIA at 66¢ before the market moved to 76¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,088 resolved trades and is up $57.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $891k deployed across 296 markets in 152 events.
- Bought FURIA at 66¢ before the price moved to 76¢, catching a sharp move in their favor.
$1,826 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%
Serial esports market mover
Serial high-volume esports cross-market trader bought FURIA before a quick move from 67% to 76%, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This wallet has traded across 221 events and over $4.3M in similar cross-market action.
- They bought FURIA at 67¢ and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- The bet landed during a rapid price swing, suggesting they may be reacting faster than the market.
$2,964 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports bettor with solid long-run profitability bought FURIA at 65% before the market moved up to 76%.
- This bettor has a strong history across 292 resolved bets, winning 65% and earning about $19K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 44 events and $85K in similar positioning.
- They bought FURIA at 65¢ and the market has already moved to 76¢, suggesting the trade was well-timed.
$1,200 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp cluster chasing FURIA
A high-scoring FURIA cluster combines 7-wallet one-sided buying, a 34.6x volume spike, major price movement, and at least one profitable 80% winner in the group.
- Seven wallets bought $13.2K of FURIA, pushing the price from the high-50s/60s up to 76¢.
- One buyer wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $16.3K lifetime, making this more than just crowd momentum.
- Market volume spiked 34.6x and FURIA is up 25 points on the day, showing strong pre-match flow.
$13,216 on FURIA
Top Holders
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Team Falcons, $40,185 (99% win rate)
- 0xe557...9597 — Team Falcons, $36,500
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — FURIA, $10,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — FURIA, $9,920 (59% win rate)
- 0x90eb...db79 — FURIA, $5,237 (70% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Team Falcons, $4,473 (56% win rate)
- 0x530c...89f1 — FURIA, $4,379 (80% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — Team Falcons, $3,944 (44% win rate)
- 0x7812...6c87 — FURIA, $3,870
- 0x4247...91c4 — FURIA, $3,580 (35% win rate)
Related Theses
Monte wins Map 1
Covers 1 related market
