Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,268.

Categories: Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1), Up or Down, Indicies, SPX, Daily, Finance, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable whale in thin market

A profitable high-volume wallet made a contrarian Down buy that was very large relative to activity in a thin SPX daily market.

  • This high-volume bettor is up $119k lifetime across $3.3M traded.
  • The $1.2k Down buy was far larger than recent activity in this quiet market.
  • Entry at 45¢ goes against the market’s 56% Up pricing, suggesting a clear contrarian view.

$1,228 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable high-volume trader bought Up in a very thin SPX daily market, with the bet dwarfing the day’s prior volume.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades across 1,702 bets and is up $111k lifetime.
  • The $1,040 buy is about 20x this market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see SPX finishing higher Monday as better than a coin flip.

$1,040 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x06b2...9f35 Outcome 11162632, $7,271 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x102f...7a56 Outcome 11162632, $6,515 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 11162632, $5,900 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xfa3a...03a1 Outcome 11162632, $4,500
  5. 0x969f...4d55 Outcome 11162632, $3,367 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x50c8...caa2 Outcome 60516010, $2,906
  7. 0xebe6...9278 Outcome 11162632, $2,351 (69% win rate)
  8. 0x1186...051b Outcome 11162632, $1,000 (69% win rate)
  9. 0xf5bc...2c49 Outcome 11162632, $853 (46% win rate)
  10. 0xa661...ef0e Outcome 11162632, $600 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

SPY will fall June 3

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SPY rises on June 9

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SPY rises on May 22

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SPY rises on June 24

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S&P 500 rises May 26

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S&P 500 rises May 28

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SPY rises on June 1

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S&P 500 falls May 29

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S&P rises on June 1

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S&P 500 rises June 16

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?$2,268 tracked2 signalsRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)Up or DownIndiciesHide From NewSPXDailyFinanceDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, June 1, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, June 1, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

52d ago

$1,228 on Down at 45¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

54d ago

$1,040 on Up at 52¢

Related Theses