Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,268.
Categories: Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1), Up or Down, Indicies, SPX, Daily, Finance, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable whale in thin market
A profitable high-volume wallet made a contrarian Down buy that was very large relative to activity in a thin SPX daily market.
- This high-volume bettor is up $119k lifetime across $3.3M traded.
- The $1.2k Down buy was far larger than recent activity in this quiet market.
- Entry at 45¢ goes against the market’s 56% Up pricing, suggesting a clear contrarian view.
$1,228 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable high-volume trader bought Up in a very thin SPX daily market, with the bet dwarfing the day’s prior volume.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades across 1,702 bets and is up $111k lifetime.
- The $1,040 buy is about 20x this market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see SPX finishing higher Monday as better than a coin flip.
$1,040 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x06b2...9f35 — Outcome 11162632, $7,271 (66% win rate)
- 0x102f...7a56 — Outcome 11162632, $6,515 (68% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 11162632, $5,900 (92% win rate)
- 0xfa3a...03a1 — Outcome 11162632, $4,500
- 0x969f...4d55 — Outcome 11162632, $3,367 (53% win rate)
- 0x50c8...caa2 — Outcome 60516010, $2,906
- 0xebe6...9278 — Outcome 11162632, $2,351 (69% win rate)
- 0x1186...051b — Outcome 11162632, $1,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xf5bc...2c49 — Outcome 11162632, $853 (46% win rate)
- 0xa661...ef0e — Outcome 11162632, $600 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
SPY will fall June 3
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SPY rises on June 9
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SPY rises on May 22
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SPY rises on June 24
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S&P 500 rises May 26
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S&P 500 rises May 28
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SPY rises on June 1
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S&P 500 falls May 29
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S&P rises on June 1
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S&P 500 rises June 16
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