Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $314,630.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought New Zealand at 86% despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 713 of 720 resolved bets and is up $415k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 183 events with a 99% win rate.
- Buying New Zealand at 86¢ suggests they are backing Iran not to win by 2+ goals.
$2,000 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 99%
97% winner joins Iran cluster
High-scoring alert driven by a 97% lifetime winner with $1.0M profit joining one-sided Iran spread buying amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.0M bought Iran at 26¢.
- Three wallets put $8.6K on the same Iran spread outcome during a 418x volume spike.
- This sharp wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $1.7M bet across 198 events.
$8,615 on IR Iran
Profitable whale backing favorite
A highly profitable, high-volume wallet made a $299k buy on New Zealand amid an enormous pre-event volume spike, making this a notable sports whale position.
- This bettor is up $11.2M lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved markets.
- They put $299k on New Zealand, larger than the market’s entire prior 24h volume.
- Market volume spiked nearly 893x above its normal pace before the match.
$299,260 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 59%
Event-wide sharp positioning
Surface as event-wide positioning: the wallet has a strong resolved record and is part of a $32k cross-market Iran/New Zealand thesis during an 88x pre-game volume surge.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
- The wallet has put $32k across 8 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- This market saw an 88x pre-game volume spike, with IR Iran moving slightly up to 27¢.
$1,405 on IR Iran | Wallet win rate: 92%
97% winner backs underdog spread
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% record and +$50.5k P&L bought New Zealand against the spread at 73¢.
- This bettor has won 30 of 31 resolved bets and is up $50.5k lifetime.
- They are buying New Zealand at 73¢, backing Iran not to win by 2+ goals.
- The market is liquid, so the edge comes mainly from the wallet’s strong sports track record.
$1,918 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 56%
89% sports winner
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought IR Iran -1.5 at 28¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $5,043 lifetime.
- They bought IR Iran -1.5 at 28¢, implying a strong view versus the market’s mid-20s price.
- The wallet has 37 resolved positions, so the track record is more meaningful than a one-off hot streak.
$1,432 on IR Iran | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40991750, $427,581 (64% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 40991750, $18,276 (92% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 40991750, $6,666 (85% win rate)
- 0xd9ff...79dc — Outcome 40991750, $5,667 (69% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 40991750, $5,556 (56% win rate)
- 0x3cb6...6789 — Outcome 40991750, $5,204 (92% win rate)
- 0xdc86...7e77 — Outcome 40991750, $4,158 (60% win rate)
- 0x5672...7312 — Outcome 40991750, $4,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 40991750, $3,840 (97% win rate)
- 0xfa7f...dc59 — Outcome 40991750, $3,059 (71% win rate)
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