Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $314,630.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought New Zealand at 86% despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 713 of 720 resolved bets and is up $415k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 183 events with a 99% win rate.
  • Buying New Zealand at 86¢ suggests they are backing Iran not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,000 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 99%

97% winner joins Iran cluster

High-scoring alert driven by a 97% lifetime winner with $1.0M profit joining one-sided Iran spread buying amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.0M bought Iran at 26¢.
  • Three wallets put $8.6K on the same Iran spread outcome during a 418x volume spike.
  • This sharp wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $1.7M bet across 198 events.

$8,615 on IR Iran

Profitable whale backing favorite

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet made a $299k buy on New Zealand amid an enormous pre-event volume spike, making this a notable sports whale position.

  • This bettor is up $11.2M lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved markets.
  • They put $299k on New Zealand, larger than the market’s entire prior 24h volume.
  • Market volume spiked nearly 893x above its normal pace before the match.

$299,260 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 63%

Event-wide sharp positioning

Surface as event-wide positioning: the wallet has a strong resolved record and is part of a $32k cross-market Iran/New Zealand thesis during an 88x pre-game volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
  • The wallet has put $32k across 8 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader game thesis.
  • This market saw an 88x pre-game volume spike, with IR Iran moving slightly up to 27¢.

$1,405 on IR Iran | Wallet win rate: 92%

97% winner backs underdog spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 97% record and +$50.5k P&L bought New Zealand against the spread at 73¢.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 31 resolved bets and is up $50.5k lifetime.
  • They are buying New Zealand at 73¢, backing Iran not to win by 2+ goals.
  • The market is liquid, so the edge comes mainly from the wallet’s strong sports track record.

$1,918 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 97%

89% sports winner

Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought IR Iran -1.5 at 28¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $5,043 lifetime.
  • They bought IR Iran -1.5 at 28¢, implying a strong view versus the market’s mid-20s price.
  • The wallet has 37 resolved positions, so the track record is more meaningful than a one-off hot streak.

$1,432 on IR Iran | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 40991750, $427,581 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xac47...d234 Outcome 40991750, $25,000 (45% win rate)
  3. 0xbcfb...efc0 Outcome 40991750, $20,000 (25% win rate)
  4. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 40991750, $18,276 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 40991750, $15,476 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x2117...5c26 Outcome 40991750, $12,294 (47% win rate)
  7. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 98237569, $12,000 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x2ab6...05fe Outcome 40991750, $7,226 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 40991750, $6,666 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x22da...2866 Outcome 40991750, $5,821 (50% win rate)

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Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

ResolvedIR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets$314,630 tracked6 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IR Iran" if IR Iran win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “New Zealand
102¢
87¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

1h ago

$2,000 on New Zealand at 86¢

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

2h ago

$8,615 on IR Iran at 26¢

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

2h ago

$299,260 on New Zealand at 74¢

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

3h ago

$1,405 on IR Iran at 27¢

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

3h ago

$1,918 on New Zealand at 73¢

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

3h ago

$1,432 on IR Iran at 28¢

Related Theses