Part of: Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Atlanta Playoffs grand final between GamerLegion and Natus Vincere in a best-of-five match. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 18, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules. PolySpotter is tracking $25,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity from profitable esports bettors and a sharp favorite buyer.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between GamerLegion and Natus Vincere in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,745.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports favorite bettor

Surface due to a proven profitable bettor with an 80% resolved-bet win rate buying Natus Vincere despite the alert's low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,866 lifetime.
  • They have beaten market-implied odds by 16 points across 83 resolved bets.
  • A $2,500 buy at 80¢ shows confidence in the heavy favorite.

$2,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp esports bettor buying favorite

Despite the weak size-only signal, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has a strong 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L while placing a $25k bet on Natus Vincere.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $77.5k lifetime.
  • They put $25k on Natus Vincere, a large single position equal to 82% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • Entry at 81¢ shows confidence in the favorite while the market still offers a small spread.

$25,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 88%

New profitable esports whale

A 5-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is putting $4.5k on Natus Vincere at 80¢ in a meaningful esports final market.

  • This 5-day-old wallet is already up $972 and has won its first 3 resolved bets.
  • It has now been flagged twice for large bets, with $6,000 total in notable positions.
  • The $4,500 buy at 80¢ shows strong conviction on the favorite in a liquid match market.

$4,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% record and nearly $294k lifetime profit is buying Natus Vincere in size.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $294k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
  • The $3.7k buy at 80¢ is a clear favorite-side conviction bet on Natus Vincere.

$3,745 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0x733b...7260 Natus Vincere, $30,865 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x29b5...cc6c Natus Vincere, $14,140 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x8fbb...9a17 GamerLegion, $13,973 (74% win rate)
  4. 0xb7f5...c669 GamerLegion, $10,000 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xa7df...5eee GamerLegion, $10,000 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x7645...3117 GamerLegion, $6,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x36a7...b6e9 Natus Vincere, $5,625 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x3993...cded GamerLegion, $4,896 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x30c7...ac3b GamerLegion, $4,344 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x52b7...0aa1 GamerLegion, $3,650

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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

15hCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$35,745 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
GamerLegion
21¢
Natus Vincere
80¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between GamerLegion and Natus Vincere in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
83¢
81¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

6m ago

$2,500 on Natus Vincere at 80¢

80¢80¢

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

34m ago

$25,000 on Natus Vincere at 81¢

81¢80¢1¢

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

2h ago

$4,500 on Natus Vincere at 80¢

80¢80¢

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

4h ago

$3,745 on Natus Vincere at 80¢

80¢80¢

Related Theses