Part of: Brazil vs. Haiti - More Markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Haiti". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $243,195.
Categories: Soccer, Games, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet joins Haiti flow
A proven 85% bettor sold Brazil while an 8-wallet, $57.5k one-sided flow also positioned toward Haiti, though this wallet may be closing an earlier Brazil position.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 48 positions.
- Eight wallets are all positioned the same way, totaling $57.5k toward Haiti.
- Market volume spiked 10.8x before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event attention.
$1,521 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 82%
94% winner backs underdog spread
Elite sports bettor with a 94% long-term win rate bought Haiti +2.5 amid one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $890K lifetime.
- They bought Haiti at 48¢, meaning they are backing Haiti to lose by 2 or less or win outright.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $14K total as market volume spiked 62x before kickoff.
$2,400 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 75%
87% winner backs Brazil
Surfaced because a proven profitable sports bettor with an 87% record is buying Brazil despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades, going 47-7 across 54 positions.
- Their wins came at average 53¢ odds, suggesting a strong track record of beating fair prices.
- They bought Brazil at 52¢, implying they see value near an even-money spread.
$1,100 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 89%
Perfect-record serial sports bettor
Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 15-0 resolved record buying Brazil at 52¢ despite an otherwise liquid market.
- This bettor has won 15 of 15 resolved bets and is up $3.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events with $878k total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Buying Brazil at 52¢ implies they see value on Brazil covering the -2.5 spread.
$10,000 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new whale fading Brazil
A 2-day-old wallet with $114k profit and repeated large flagged bets is putting $25.5k on Haiti +2.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $114k and has made 13 large flagged bets totaling $184k.
- They put $25.5k on Haiti at 49¢, taking the underdog side of a highly liquid World Cup spread.
- Market volume is running 21.7x above normal before the game, adding momentum to the signal.
$25,539 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp cluster fading Brazil spread
A large coordinated cluster is backing Haiti against the spread, led by profitable sports-heavy wallets and a newly profitable whale, with $85.8k on one side despite an opposing but much smaller Brazil flow.
- Nine wallets put $85.8k on Haiti, about 3x the opposing Brazil-side cluster in this alert.
- The flow includes a bettor up $932k lifetime and another 4-day-old wallet already up $38k across flagged positions.
- This is a liquid World Cup spread market, but the Haiti cluster is nearly the size of the visible liquidity.
$85,777 on Haiti
90% sports spread bettor
A bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong edge is effectively buying Brazil -2.5 for $15k at 53¢.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved positions at average odds of 55%.
- They put $15.1k behind Brazil -2.5, a meaningful single bet even in a liquid market.
- Selling Haiti at 47¢ is equivalent to buying Brazil at 53¢.
$15,098 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 93%
94% winner backs underdog spread
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win record bought $8.5k of Haiti +2.5 into a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved trades and is up about $31k lifetime.
- They put $8.5k on Haiti +2.5 at 48¢, a meaningful bet from a proven sports wallet.
- Market volume is running 43x above its historical average ahead of the match.
$8,463 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 88%
New high-volume sports bettor
New 9-day wallet with repeated large-bet flags and a 9-for-9 resolved record bought $13k of Brazil -2.5 at 53¢.
- This 9-day-old wallet is already 9-for-9 on resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 46 times for large bets, totaling about $569k in notable activity.
- The bettor put $13k on Brazil at 53¢, implying confidence in a 3+ goal win.
$32,400 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 100%
83% sports sharp
Sharp sports wallet with an 83% record across 120 resolved positions is buying Haiti +2.5 for $5k, reinforced by extensive cross-market betting history.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved positions across 120 bets and is up $2.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 51 events with $242k in tracked volume.
- A $5k buy on Haiti at 47¢ is a clear position against Brazil covering the -2.5 spread.
$5,000 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Haiti, $65,705 (72% win rate)
- 0x4e05...7720 — Haiti, $36,304 (93% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Haiti, $20,833 (93% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Haiti, $20,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xe548...a9fe — Haiti, $17,632 (88% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Haiti, $15,140 (85% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Haiti, $12,384 (91% win rate)
- 0x5d75...3d44 — Haiti, $10,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Haiti, $10,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Haiti, $8,385 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
European team wins World Cup
Covers 5 related markets
JD Vance will win GOP nomination
Covers 2 related markets
Spurs cover, game stays under
Covers 3 related markets
Portugal routs Uzbekistan early
Covers 3 related markets
Hanwha Life beats Bilibili
Covers 3 related markets
Top Esports win, G2 covers
Covers 4 related markets
Broncos win a 44-point game
Covers 3 related markets
Dodgers White Sox go over
Covers 1 related market
