Part of: France vs. Northern Ireland - More Markets

Spread: France (-2.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,464.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor sold France -2.5 at 69¢, effectively backing Northern Ireland to cover before the market moved strongly that way.

This bettor has a long record: 519 resolved bets, 60% wins, and $37.8K lifetime profit.
They sold France at 69¢, which is the same as backing Northern Ireland to cover at 31¢.
The market has since moved toward Northern Ireland, suggesting this was well-timed rather than just a large bet.

$1,029 on Northern Ireland | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A massively experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought France -2.5 and the trade coincided with a sharp upward price move, though the market has since drifted below their entry.

This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across more than 43,000 resolved bets.
They are a serial cross-market trader with over $13M tracked across 2,399 markets.
The France side jumped about 20 percentage points around the trade, though it now sits below their 48¢ entry.

$2,198 on France | Wallet win rate: 55%

94% winner buying spread

Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp sports wallet with a 94% resolved win rate buying France -2.5 despite modest trade size.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $155k lifetime.
They bought France at 52¢ on a liquid sports market, signaling confidence in a 3+ goal win.
The market is now around 48¢, below their entry, offering a cheaper follow price.

$1,236 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x890e...db10 — Outcome 80775310, $20,677 (76% win rate)
0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 80775310, $2,558 (75% win rate)
0xca89...7bc4 — Outcome 80775310, $2,377 (94% win rate)
0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 80775310, $2,291 (86% win rate)
0xa927...8d9f — Outcome 80775310, $1,500 (91% win rate)
0x47c7...cac7 — Outcome 80775310, $1,114 (94% win rate)
0x66e5...d3c7 — Outcome 80775310, $1,000 (80% win rate)
0xe75e...4b67 — Outcome 80775310, $900 (74% win rate)
0xf876...1dee — Outcome 80775310, $819 (95% win rate)
0x4658...4131 — Outcome 80775310, $769 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

South Africa covers against Mexico

Covers 1 related market

Spread: France (-2.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Northern Ireland - More Markets$4,464 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 8 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Northern Ireland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.