Part of: France vs. Sweden - Halftime Result

France leading at halftime?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,158.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

96% serial sports winner

A proven 96% winner bought France halftime Yes at 36¢ alongside one-sided clustered flow before the market moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $6.1K lifetime on $341K invested.
  • They bought Yes at 36¢ before the market moved to 100¢, showing a strong read on the halftime result.
  • 8 wallets bet the same direction for $16.1K, with volume nearly 40x above normal.

$1,313 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% serial sharp hit

High-confidence alert from a 96% win-rate serial cross-market bettor, reinforced by 8 wallets buying the same side before the market moved from 45¢ to 100¢.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 27 resolved bets and repeatedly trades across related markets.
  • Eight wallets bought the same side, totaling $16.1K in one-sided flow.
  • They entered at 45¢ before the market moved to 100¢, so this is only copyable on similar future prices.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Repeat new wallet cluster

High-scoring alert from a repeat new wallet buying Yes at 37¢ alongside an 8-wallet one-sided push and a major volume spike, with the market now at 100%.

  • An 11-day-old wallet bought $4,000 of Yes at 37¢ and has now triggered $48,379 in flagged bets.
  • 8 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $16,137 on Yes.
  • The entry moved from 37¢ to 100%, so this looks more like a sharp read to track than a price to chase now.

$4,000 on Yes

Profitable wallets backing No

Surfaced because the No side combines a major pre-event volume spike, favorable price movement, and two highly profitable wallets, though the opposing Yes flow makes the signal less clean.

  • Two wallets in this No cluster are up about $2.7M+ lifetime each across thousands of resolved bets.
  • No buyers entered around 42–48¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢ in their favor.
  • Volume is 75x above normal, but there is also a sizable opposing Yes cluster, so this is momentum with two-way sharp flow.

$26,136 on No

Profitable serial bettor with crowd flow

Profitable serial cross-market wallet bought Yes alongside 5-wallet one-sided flow and a major volume spike, though the price has since moved against the trade.

  • This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $347K lifetime across 390 resolved markets.
  • Five wallets bought the same Yes side for $30.7K during a 75x volume spike.
  • The trade entered at 58¢, but Yes is now around 44¢, making this a cheaper but riskier follow.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

High-conviction one-sided France halftime Yes cluster with sharp serial bettors involved, though the market has moved sharply against their entries.

  • Seven wallets put $19.9k on the same Yes outcome, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • One wallet in the cluster has won 96% of its resolved bets, and another is up $242k lifetime.
  • The cluster paid 42¢–59¢, while Yes is now around 36¢, giving a cheaper entry than their buys.

$19,863 on Yes

88% win-rate sports sharp

Proven sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and nearly $1M profit bought No on France leading at halftime.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $996K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 265 events with a strong long-term record.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see France not leading at halftime as underpriced.

$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

83% winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% record and strong cross-market history is buying France to lead at halftime.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $53.7K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events, with $175K already deployed in this pattern.
  • Entry at 61¢ suggests they see France leading at halftime as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$2,475 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

92% win-rate serial bettor

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $20.7k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 35 events and $62.9k traded with the same 92% hit rate.
  • Entry at 60¢ implies they see France leading at halftime as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

98% winner buying Yes

Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $2.0M lifetime profit bought Yes at 59¢ on France leading at halftime.

  • This bettor has won 48 of 49 resolved positions and is up $2.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with a 98% win rate.
  • Entry at 59¢ implies they see France leading at halftime as underpriced despite an already active market.

$5,692 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 86872251, $41,713 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 86872251, $20,261
  3. 0xb00d...af5f Outcome 86872251, $15,000 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x224f...514a Outcome 86872251, $7,445 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 86872251, $5,642 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x7b7f...d56c Outcome 86872251, $5,090
  7. 0x6d3c...d294 Outcome 86872251, $4,500 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 86872251, $4,000 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x67bf...f983 Outcome 86872251, $3,333 (67% win rate)
  10. 0xd3e7...bf64 Outcome 86872251, $2,056 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg won't win today

Covers 1 related market

Villa Liverpool corners go over

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

France leading at halftime?

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden - Halftime Result$68,158 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If France wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
61¢
58¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$1,313 on Yes at 36¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 45¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$4,000 on Yes at 37¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$26,136 on No at 46¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 58¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$19,863 on Yes at 36¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$1,680 on No at 42¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$2,475 on Yes at 61¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 60¢

France leading at halftime?

1d ago

$5,692 on Yes at 59¢

Related Theses