Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
This Polymarket market predicts whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will finish the May 26, 8:00AM–12:00PM ET window at or above its starting price. It resolves to “Up” if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and “Down” otherwise, with resolution scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 16:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $3,030 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from a profitable contrarian whale and crypto bettor.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,719.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Bitcoin, 4H, Crypto, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable new contrarian whale
A repeat new wallet with early profits is making a $3k contrarian Down-equivalent bet in a thin Bitcoin market after a sharp Up move.
- This 17-day-old bettor has already made 6 positions and is up $2,287 on $5,000 invested.
- The $3,030 trade is large for this market, equal to about 71% of recent 24h volume.
- They are effectively buying Down at 15¢ while the market has surged toward Up at 90%.
$3,030 on Down | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable new crypto bettor
A young wallet with early profits is making another sizable BTC direction bet in a thin 4-hour market, though its track record is still short.
- This new wallet has won 4 of 5 resolved bets and is up about $2.3K on $5K invested.
- The $1.7K Up buy is large for this market, equal to roughly 39% of the day’s volume.
- The trader entered at 47¢ while Up is now around 40¢, offering a cheaper copy entry than the original bet.
$1,688 on Up | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xe983...093a — Up, $1,561
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $1,202 (84% win rate)
- 0x8320...904e — Down, $1,043 (70% win rate)
- 0x9f5f...a008 — Down, $827
- 0xb55f...64d4 — Down, $582 (50% win rate)
- 0x2797...044c — Up, $500
- 0xcc50...4c82 — Down, $298 (44% win rate)
- 0xec4d...0707 — Down, $293
- 0xe907...cff6 — Down, $203 (47% win rate)
- 0x8444...1cf9 — Up, $185 (47% win rate)
