Part of: Qatar vs. Switzerland - More Markets
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
38 smart money signals detected, totaling $651,950.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New profitable wallet joins Swiss cluster
High composite alert: a new profitable wallet is effectively buying Switzerland alongside a 3-wallet one-sided cluster totaling $33k, despite the market having moved against the entry since then.
- This new wallet is already up $936 and has won its first 3 resolved bets.
- Three wallets are all betting Switzerland the same way, totaling $33k of one-sided flow.
- The trade is effectively a Switzerland buy at 36¢, above the current 30¢ market price.
$1,561 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner buying favorite
Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Switzerland -1.5 at 71¢ despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $48.4K lifetime.
- They have traded across 60 sports events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Bought Switzerland at 71¢ after a 14-point move, adding to market momentum.
$2,840 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp wallets flip to Qatar
A large multi-wallet move into Qatar is backed by several proven profitable sports bettors and a sharp 25-point price move, though much of the flow came from closing Switzerland positions.
- Several proven bettors are on the Qatar side, including wallets with 93%, 85%, and 100% resolved records.
- Nine wallets moved the same way for $24.6K as Qatar jumped about 26 percentage points.
- This looks like a broad exit from Switzerland exposure, with multiple sharp wallets selling Switzerland into the move.
$24,602 on Qatar
Proven sharps backing favorite
Five wallets are effectively buying Switzerland, led by two highly profitable 77% winners with large lifetime gains despite a liquid market and some opposing flow.
- Two lead bettors win 77% of their resolved trades and are up about $1.7M combined lifetime.
- Five wallets put $16.5K behind the same Switzerland -1.5 side, including Qatar sells that convert to Switzerland buys.
- One bettor is a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 77% hit rate.
$16,469 on Switzerland
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader made a $46k Qatar spread buy, alongside one-sided flow from three wallets.
- This bettor is up $1.84M over 800 resolved trades, with a 57% win rate across a large sample.
- They put $46k on Qatar at 40¢, taking the underdog side of the Switzerland -1.5 spread.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $55k total, showing coordinated one-way demand.
$46,000 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 57%
One-sided Switzerland flow
Surface due to coordinated one-sided Switzerland buying and a large pre-game volume spike, not because this specific wallet has a strong record.
- Five wallets bought Switzerland in the same direction, totaling about $74K of one-sided flow.
- The market is seeing an 18x pre-game volume spike, with Switzerland up 5 points today.
- This wallet is also betting across related game markets, suggesting a broader Switzerland-and-under thesis.
$4,313 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 49%
Sharp bettor joins Qatar cluster
Sharp profitable wallet bought Qatar +1.5 at 40¢ alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $18.2k lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Qatar +1.5, totaling $18.6k, with two linked by funding.
- Market volume is surging 26x before kickoff, suggesting Qatar support is arriving with momentum.
$3,216 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp cluster on Qatar
High-scoring one-sided Qatar flow from five wallets included proven profitable bettors and drove Switzerland from roughly 56¢ to 0¢, though the move is now fully priced.
- Five wallets backed the same Qatar side for $16.8k, including Switzerland sells that convert to Qatar buys.
- One bettor has won 93% of 74 resolved bets and is up $47k, while another is up $661k lifetime.
- The entry averaged about 65¢ and has already moved to 100¢, so this is a strong signal but not one to chase at current price.
$16,814 on Qatar
7-wallet Switzerland push
High-conviction Switzerland -1.5 buy backed by a $170k seven-wallet one-sided flow and a brand-new repeat bettor already showing early profit.
- Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $170k on Switzerland -1.5.
- This wallet is only 2 hours old but has already been flagged 6 times and is up $3.2k early.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with activity running 12x above its historical average.
$1,200 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 81%
New whale in 7-wallet push
High-conviction Switzerland buy from a 3-day-old repeat whale, reinforced by 7-wallet one-sided flow totaling $170k and a pre-event volume spike.
- A 3-day-old wallet bought $52.8k of Switzerland at 60¢ and has already been flagged four times for large bets.
- Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $170k on Switzerland.
- Volume is running 12x above its usual pace, with Switzerland’s price up 4 points in the past day.
$52,754 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x2643...39ae — Outcome 85428155, $1,377,203 (57% win rate)
- 0xcfb6...06da — Outcome 85428155, $402,246 (100% win rate)
- 0x0a55...f9be — Outcome 85428155, $398,676 (100% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 85428155, $211,140 (86% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 85428155, $208,333 (94% win rate)
- 0x99a7...fc82 — Outcome 85428155, $66,666 (59% win rate)
- 0xcb58...43c2 — Outcome 85428155, $42,333
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 85428155, $33,687 (71% win rate)
- 0xd684...f320 — Outcome 85428155, $30,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 85428155, $25,000 (62% win rate)
