Part of: Qatar vs. Switzerland - More Markets

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether Switzerland will beat Qatar by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 13 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Switzerland if they cover the -1.5 spread; otherwise it resolves to Qatar, using the official final score from fifa.com. PolySpotter is tracking $2,317 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $325,469.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

86% winner backs Switzerland

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $874k profit is buying Switzerland -1.5 at 58¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $874k lifetime.
  • They have traded 266 markets across 226 events, suggesting a proven sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 58¢ implies they still see value despite this being a highly liquid market.

$2,317 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 86%

New whale 3-for-3

A 3-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large sports bets, with $67k flagged already and a 3-for-3 resolved record, making this a notable fresh-conviction buy despite the liquid market.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already placed $67k in flagged large bets across 5 positions.
  • The bettor is 3-for-3 on resolved markets so far, though the track record is still very early.
  • They put $11.6k on Switzerland -1.5 at 57¢ in a highly liquid World Cup market.

$11,588 on Switzerland | Wallet win rate: 100%

86% serial market sharp

A highly proven 86% win-rate, profitable serial cross-market trader bought Qatar +1.5 at 44¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades, with 572 wins across 667 bets and $24k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 223 events with over $300k in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Buying Qatar at 44¢ means they are backing Switzerland not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,200 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying Qatar +1.5 at 41¢ during a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 950 resolved bets and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 58 events and 70 markets.
  • Qatar +1.5 was bought at 41¢ while market volume spiked 21x before the match.

$2,050 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 65%

New whale backing favorite

A 6-day-old repeat whale bought $11.2k of Switzerland -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now been flagged 41 times with about $460k in notable bets.
  • This trade put $11.2k on Switzerland at 59¢, backing them to win by 2+ goals.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume about 320x its historical average before the match.

$11,176 on Switzerland

10-wallet funded sports cluster

Strong 10-wallet funded cluster plus a highly profitable high-volume wallet buying Qatar +1.5 at 42¢ across a broader event thesis.

  • A 10-wallet group funded by the same address has $8.8K positioned around this market.
  • This bettor has 77,716 resolved bets and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They have $29.5K spread across 3 markets in this event, suggesting a broader game thesis.

$1,987 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale repeat buyer

A 6-day-old wallet with 38 prior large-bet flags is adding $6.9k to Switzerland amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now been flagged 38 times for large bets, totaling about $446k in activity.
  • This trade adds $6.9k on Switzerland at 58¢ ahead of the match.
  • Market volume is surging at 265x its historical average, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.

$6,902 on Switzerland

New whale chasing spike

A 6-day-old repeat whale bought $10.3k of Switzerland -1.5 during a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 6-day-old wallet has now made 37 large flagged bets totaling $442.8k.
  • This trade adds $10.3k on Switzerland -1.5 at 58¢ ahead of the match.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 366x above its historical average.

$10,321 on Switzerland

New whale backs favorite spread

A 6-day-old repeat whale put $64.6k on Switzerland -1.5 during a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction ahead of the match.

  • A 6-day-old wallet bought $64.6k of Switzerland -1.5 at 58¢ across three trades.
  • This same new wallet has been flagged 36 times with $439k in notable bets, showing repeated large conviction.
  • Market activity spiked over 1,800x versus its historical average, with this bettor driving a large share of recent volume.

$64,552 on Switzerland

New whale repeat bettor

A 7-day-old wallet with $432k in repeated large flagged bets put another $58k on Switzerland -1.5, showing notable whale conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 7-day-old wallet put $58k on one side at 58¢.
  • This wallet has now been flagged 35 times for large bets, totaling $432k.
  • The bet is large relative to this market’s recent activity, suggesting strong conviction on Switzerland -1.5.

$58,000 on Switzerland

Top Holders

  1. 0xcfb6...06da Switzerland, $402,246
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Qatar, $211,719 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9243...658e Qatar, $151,088 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Qatar, $49,581 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x6ae1...1e7e Qatar, $31,338 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x7c1e...bab3 Switzerland, $25,995 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x4f1a...bc89 Switzerland, $17,571 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x56d4...9c57 Switzerland, $12,000 (86% win rate)
  9. 0xadfa...324e Switzerland, $12,000 (53% win rate)
  10. 0xa85b...eb0e Qatar, $7,981 (86% win rate)

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Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

6hQatar vs. Switzerland - More Markets$325,469 tracked13 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup
Switzerland
57¢
Qatar
43¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Switzerland
60¢
58¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

8h ago

$2,317 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

11h ago

$11,588 on Switzerland at 57¢

57¢57¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

16h ago

$2,200 on Qatar at 44¢

44¢43¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,050 on Qatar at 41¢

41¢43¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$11,176 on Switzerland at 59¢

59¢57¢2¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,987 on Qatar at 42¢

42¢43¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$6,902 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$10,321 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$64,552 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$58,000 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$116,000 on Switzerland at 58¢

58¢57¢1¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$13,388 on Switzerland at 57¢

57¢57¢

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

1d ago

$24,988 on Switzerland at 57¢

57¢57¢

Related Theses