Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,701.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
98% winner buying KO
Elite proven sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Yes at 70¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $464k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 160 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Entry at 70¢ shows conviction that Topuria wins by KO/TKO despite an already efficient market.
$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp UFC cluster buying Yes
Three profitable wallets, including a 98% winner up $464k, bought the same Topuria KO/TKO outcome for $8.4k despite the market drifting lower.
- Three strong bettors are all buying Yes, led by a wallet that wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $464k.
- The group put $8.4k on the same side, a meaningful coordinated move in a market with $26.6k liquidity.
- Entry around 69¢ implies they still see value even though the current market is near 66¢.
$8,421 on Yes
92% winner buying KO
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 67¢ despite only a weak standalone signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $37K lifetime.
- Their past wins averaged 65¢ entries, very close to this 67¢ buy.
- Entry at 67¢ suggests they still see value in Topuria by KO/TKO.
$2,909 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
92% win-rate sharp
Elite profitable bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history bought Yes on Topuria by KO/TKO at 66¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $320K lifetime.
- They have traded across 223 events with a strong long-term record, suggesting real sports-market edge.
- Buying at 66¢ implies confidence despite the market drifting down over the past day.
$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner buying KO
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $3.9k of Yes on Topuria by KO/TKO.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $12k lifetime.
- They put $3.9k on Yes at 67¢ in a market with only about $9k liquidity.
- Entry at 67¢ implies they see Topuria by KO/TKO as materially underpriced.
$3,891 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x6332...5a1a — Outcome 95693075, $6,976 (67% win rate)
- 0xd5e2...c1a7 — Outcome 95693075, $5,807 (92% win rate)
- 0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 95693075, $3,788 (92% win rate)
- 0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 95693075, $2,829 (98% win rate)
- 0xfd0a...3540 — Outcome 95693075, $2,091 (69% win rate)
- 0xa37b...dfa6 — Outcome 95693075, $2,065
- 0x5fcb...f91a — Outcome 95693075, $2,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x6561...e3c2 — Outcome 95693075, $1,452 (94% win rate)
- 0x7671...7244 — Outcome 95693075, $1,449 (82% win rate)
- 0xb1f5...e4c2 — Outcome 95693075, $1,381 (96% win rate)
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