Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,701.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

98% winner buying KO

Elite proven sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Yes at 70¢.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $464k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 160 events with a 98% hit rate.
  • Entry at 70¢ shows conviction that Topuria wins by KO/TKO despite an already efficient market.

$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp UFC cluster buying Yes

Three profitable wallets, including a 98% winner up $464k, bought the same Topuria KO/TKO outcome for $8.4k despite the market drifting lower.

  • Three strong bettors are all buying Yes, led by a wallet that wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $464k.
  • The group put $8.4k on the same side, a meaningful coordinated move in a market with $26.6k liquidity.
  • Entry around 69¢ implies they still see value even though the current market is near 66¢.

$8,421 on Yes

92% winner buying KO

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 67¢ despite only a weak standalone signal.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $37K lifetime.
  • Their past wins averaged 65¢ entries, very close to this 67¢ buy.
  • Entry at 67¢ suggests they still see value in Topuria by KO/TKO.

$2,909 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

92% win-rate sharp

Elite profitable bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history bought Yes on Topuria by KO/TKO at 66¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $320K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 223 events with a strong long-term record, suggesting real sports-market edge.
  • Buying at 66¢ implies confidence despite the market drifting down over the past day.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner buying KO

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $3.9k of Yes on Topuria by KO/TKO.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $12k lifetime.
  • They put $3.9k on Yes at 67¢ in a market with only about $9k liquidity.
  • Entry at 67¢ implies they see Topuria by KO/TKO as materially underpriced.

$3,891 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6332...5a1a Outcome 95693075, $6,976 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xd5e2...c1a7 Outcome 95693075, $5,807 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x6157...9fb4 Outcome 95693075, $3,788 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xc33a...3da3 Outcome 95693075, $2,829 (98% win rate)
  5. 0xfd0a...3540 Outcome 95693075, $2,091 (69% win rate)
  6. 0xa37b...dfa6 Outcome 95693075, $2,065
  7. 0x5fcb...f91a Outcome 95693075, $2,000 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x6561...e3c2 Outcome 95693075, $1,452 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x7671...7244 Outcome 95693075, $1,449 (82% win rate)
  10. 0xb1f5...e4c2 Outcome 95693075, $1,381 (96% win rate)

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Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilia Topuria defeats Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

33d ago

$1,980 on Yes at 70¢

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

33d ago

$8,421 on Yes at 69¢

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

33d ago

$2,909 on Yes at 67¢

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

33d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 66¢

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

33d ago

$3,891 on Yes at 67¢

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