Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

This Pistons vs. Cavaliers prediction market covers which team will win the NBA game scheduled for May 11 at 8:00 PM ET, with overtime included in the final result. The market resolves to “Pistons” or “Cavaliers” based on the final score, while a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $4,166 in smart money across 2 signals, including alerts tied to underdog buying and whale activity on the Pistons.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $119,887.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 69% resolved win rate and $119k lifetime profit bought Pistons at 42¢ despite the market being very liquid.

  • This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $119k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see Pistons as a ~2.4x payout opportunity.

$2,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable record bought Cavaliers at 59¢, though the market is highly liquid and the trade size is modest.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 63% wins across 349 resolved markets and about $64.9K in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.18M in flagged activity across 372 events.
  • Bought Cavaliers at 59¢ in a very liquid NBA market, slightly above the current 58% odds.

$1,731 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 63%

New profitable sports whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large flagged bets and early strong profits is buying Pistons at 42¢ despite a very liquid market.

  • This new wallet is already up $8.3K and has won all 3 resolved bets so far.
  • It has now been flagged 4 times, with $8.7K in notable bets across 3 positions.
  • Buying Pistons at 42¢ suggests they see meaningful value against the current market price.

$2,435 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven sharp buying Pistons

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Pistons at 42¢ despite a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 400 events with the same 78% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see Pistons as underpriced against the current 58% Cavaliers market.

$2,163 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 78%

New profitable wallet joins cluster

Three wallets put $22.7k on Pistons, including a very new profitable wallet and a serial cross-market bettor, making this more than just a routine liquid-market bet.

  • Three wallets are all taking the same side, totaling $22.7k on Pistons at 42¢.
  • One wallet is under 2 days old but already up $8.3k, with repeated large-bet flags.
  • Another bettor has traded across 28 events with a 62% win rate, adding support to the same direction.

$22,726 on Pistons

Serial sports bettor joins flow

A high-volume serial sports trader joined coordinated one-sided Cavaliers buying during a pre-event volume spike, though their lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has a large 762-bet history and wins 67% of resolved markets.
  • Three wallets bought Cavaliers the same way, totaling about $9.1K in coordinated flow.
  • Market volume is spiking 20x versus normal ahead of the game.

$3,050 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp serial sports bettor

A proven sports bettor with a 78% record is buying Cavaliers, backed by one-sided flow from 3 wallets and a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 481 resolved markets and is up $78K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Three wallets are all buying Cavaliers, with market volume running 12.8x above normal.

$3,563 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable trio on underdog

Three profitable sports wallets, including one with an 88% resolved win rate, bought Pistons together despite a liquid market.

  • Three profitable bettors are all buying Pistons at 42¢, including one who has won 88% of 115 resolved bets.
  • The wallets are collectively up about $266K lifetime and placed $6.4K on the same side within 10 minutes.
  • This is an underdog entry at 42¢, so the bet pays about 2.4x if Pistons win.

$6,373 on Pistons

Profitable new whale

New repeat whale with very strong early profitability and linked-wallet context is buying $8.2k of Pistons at 41¢ despite a liquid NBA market.

  • This 11-day-old bettor is already up $138k and has won all 6 resolved bets.
  • They have been flagged 29 times for large bets, totaling $161k in notable activity.
  • They bought $8.2k of Pistons at 41¢, implying they see value against the current 40% market price.

$8,200 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Hot new NBA bettor

New 19-day-old wallet with early perfect results and nearly $14k profit is making another $3k Pistons bet at 41¢, though the market is highly liquid.

  • This new bettor is 5-for-5 so far and up nearly $14k on about $21k invested.
  • They have now been flagged 8 times, with $14.6k in notable bets from a 19-day-old wallet.
  • A $3k buy at 41¢ suggests they see Pistons as materially underpriced against the current 40–41¢ market.

$3,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9ac2...be3d Cavaliers, $625,435 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Pistons, $520,168 (57% win rate)
  3. 0xcf98...6e0a Pistons, $461,000 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x6211...b89e Cavaliers, $301,732 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x8a6c...0b3f Cavaliers, $210,169 (49% win rate)
  6. 0xbddf...c684 Pistons, $165,062 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x5375...aeea Cavaliers, $125,037 (44% win rate)
  8. 0x84cf...2f63 Pistons, $103,890 (51% win rate)
  9. 0xbd14...d62a Pistons, $97,561 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x67bb...b6ef Pistons, $94,999 (62% win rate)

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Pistons vs. Cavaliers

50mPistons vs. Cavaliers$119,887 tracked19 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Pistons
42¢
Cavaliers
59¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

DET
60-22
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -3.5O/U: 213.5ML: +136/-162
Win Prob
Poly: 42¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Cavaliers
62¢
54¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

4m ago

$2,000 on Pistons at 42¢

42¢42¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

24m ago

$1,731 on Cavaliers at 59¢

59¢59¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

31m ago

$2,435 on Pistons at 42¢

42¢42¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

55m ago

$2,163 on Pistons at 42¢

42¢42¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

29m ago

$22,726 on Pistons at 42¢

42¢42¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

1h ago

$3,050 on Cavaliers at 60¢

60¢59¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

1h ago

$3,563 on Cavaliers at 60¢

60¢59¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

6m ago

$6,373 on Pistons at 42¢

42¢42¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

1h ago

$8,200 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

2h ago

$3,000 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

2h ago

$5,078 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

4h ago

$20,500 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

4h ago

$2,268 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

6h ago

$3,300 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

6h ago

$3,642 on Cavaliers at 60¢

60¢59¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

9h ago

$3,619 on Cavaliers at 60¢

60¢59¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

34m ago

$7,168 on Cavaliers at 59¢

59¢59¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

11h ago

$1,000 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

19h ago

$18,071 on Pistons at 41¢

41¢42¢1¢

Related Theses

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter