Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,721.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
4-wallet late No cluster
Four wallets piled into No within 30 minutes of resolution during a 13x volume spike, and the flow included one bettor with a strong 77% win rate buying before the market moved higher.
- Four wallets all lined up on No for nearly $7.9k less than 30 minutes before resolution.
- One wallet in the group wins 77% of 81 resolved bets, giving the cluster at least one proven sharp signal.
- They bought No at 65-69¢ and also sold Yes as low as 19¢, and No has already moved up to 78¢.
$7,912 on No
Profitable serial BTC timer
A profitable high-volume serial timer bought Yes twice within 45 minutes of resolution as this BTC market was seeing a sharp late volume and price surge.
- This bettor has made nearly 800 resolved trades, is up $248.8k lifetime, and has a pattern of near-resolution bets that wins.
- They bought $4.45k of Yes 45 minutes before resolution while this market was seeing a 21x volume spike and a fast 20-point move up.
- Entry around 42-44¢ means they were betting Bitcoin had materially better than coin-flip odds to finish above $72,000.
$4,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
5-wallet late NO cluster
Five wallets piled into No within 39 minutes of resolution during a 23x volume spike, a strong coordinated directional signal despite mixed wallet quality.
- Five wallets all bet No in under 10 minutes, putting nearly $9.6k behind the same view.
- The move came 39 minutes before resolution during a 23x volume spike, which often means traders are reacting to fresh information.
- One wallet wins 77% of its resolved bets, and most entries were around 59-69¢ with No now at 66¢.
$9,600 on No
Sharp bettor fading rally
A proven sharp wallet with an 83% win rate sold Yes at 32¢, which translates to buying No at 68¢, signaling a contrarian view worth noting despite the modest position size.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up about $201k across 41 resolved positions
- They sold Yes at 32¢, which is the same as buying No at 68¢ against a market now trading at 56¢ Yes
- The market jumped 29 points in a day, so this trade stands out as a sharp wallet fading a fast move
$2,115 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
77% win-rate BTC trader
A proven 77% win-rate cross-market trader bought effective Yes exposure in this BTC threshold market during a notable volume spike, making it worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 90 markets and has traded nearly $461k total
- The trade was a SELL No at 71¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 29¢ on Bitcoin clearing this level
- Market volume jumped 17.8x versus normal activity, suggesting broader positioning around this threshold
$2,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying dip
A proven sharp bettor with an 83% win rate and strong edge bought Yes at 23¢ after a 25-point selloff, making this a credible contrarian entry despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up about $201k across 41 resolved positions
- They bought Yes at 23¢ after the market dropped 25 points in a day, a clear contrarian entry
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate price view, not random noise
$1,513 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 44400266, $40,000
- 0x8970...36b5 — Outcome 44400266, $38,716 (30% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 44400266, $13,252
- 0x9b6b...9a8a — Outcome 44400266, $7,980
- 0xd3d2...fe85 — Outcome 44400266, $7,468 (37% win rate)
- 0x959c...c1c8 — Outcome 44400266, $5,000
- 0x596f...6264 — Outcome 44400266, $4,640
- 0x22e6...409f — Outcome 44400266, $4,458
- 0xfd7c...46d9 — Outcome 44400266, $4,076 (89% win rate)
- 0xd264...1986 — Outcome 44400266, $3,141
