Part of: ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?
This prediction market asks whether ACF Fiorentina will win its scheduled soccer match on May 24, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves to Yes if Fiorentina wins in regular time and No for a draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $3,165 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent sharp-wallet alerts leaning toward No.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,422.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea
Notable Trades
Serial sports bettor momentum
A high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market history bought No before a rapid 52-point move that took the market to near-certain No.
- This bettor has traded 69 events and wins 72% of resolved bets, with $22.7k in lifetime profit.
- Their $1.6k No buy came before a rapid 52-point move toward No in just 5 minutes.
- Entry at 89¢ has already moved to 100¢, so this is more of a follow/study signal than a chase.
$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
85% serial market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate bought No at 79¢ before a rapid move to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 2,104 bets and is up $64k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market specialist, with activity across 952 markets and $1.14M traded.
- The No price jumped 52 percentage points in 5 minutes after this entry at 79¢.
$1,565 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp wallets on No
Surfaced because multiple profitable, high-volume bettors — including an 85% lifetime winner — clustered on No despite mixed market flow.
- An 85% lifetime winner with 2,104 resolved bets joined the No side.
- Four wallets put $8.3k on No, including profitable bettors up $64k and $19k lifetime.
- No is trading near 32¢ after a violent move, giving a cheaper entry than several of these bettors paid.
$8,269 on No
79% winner exiting No
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 79% long-run record effectively moved to the Yes side alongside one-sided flow, though the trade closed an existing No position and the market has already moved sharply.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $78.7k lifetime.
- Three wallets backed the same Yes direction for $5.4k, with Yes up 33 points in a day.
- The trade was a sell of No from an existing position, so it is more of a strong exit signal than a fresh full-size entry.
$1,391 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Fiorentina No during a sharp 5-minute move and has $18.8k positioned across three markets in the same event.
- This bettor is up $386k lifetime across 835 resolved markets.
- They have $18.8k positioned across 3 markets in the same event.
- No jumped sharply in 5 minutes, and this trade entered at 28¢ before it moved to 32¢.
$3,929 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking a contrarian No position during a major pre-match volume spike, though the edge is moderate rather than elite.
- This bettor has 256 resolved trades, wins 58% of them, and is up $87K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events with over $621K in tracked related activity.
- This is a contrarian entry at 50¢ on No while the market has seen a 22.5x volume spike.
$3,588 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial bettor
A repeat large bettor with a profitable 256-bet history is adding $6.4k to No at even odds, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.
- This bettor has won 58% of 256 resolved bets and is up about $87k lifetime.
- They have traded across 49 events with over $614k in tracked cross-market volume.
- They bought No at 50¢ after a 12-point move toward Yes, suggesting a contrarian view at even odds.
$6,382 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial sports trader
A seasoned profitable cross-market sports trader is fading a sharp Fiorentina price move after a 13x volume spike, though the trade size is modest relative to liquidity.
- This bettor has 1,427 resolved trades and is up $253k lifetime.
- They are fading a 24-point move toward Fiorentina after volume jumped 13x above normal.
- Selling Yes at 48¢ is equivalent to buying No at 52¢.
$2,186 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with $11.5M lifetime P&L bought Fiorentina Yes as the market moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,844 resolved trades and is up $11.5M lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $16.5M bet across 2,166 markets.
- The market moved up about 21 points, and they entered at 48¢ before the current 50¢ level.
$1,802 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp cluster buying No
High-score coordinated No buying with multiple profitable serial sports traders drove Fiorentina No from longshot levels to 88%.
- Six wallets all backed No for $10.9K, pushing the price sharply up to 88¢.
- Two serial cross-market bettors in the group have strong records, including one winning 85% across 952 markets.
- Several late buyers still entered around 89¢, suggesting confidence even after the big move.
$10,920 on No
Top Holders
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 17636986, $67,591 (63% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 17636986, $33,818 (86% win rate)
- 0x2cf6...9af0 — Outcome 17636986, $26,736 (80% win rate)
- 0x7430...3af2 — Outcome 17636986, $20,263 (51% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 17636986, $19,722 (75% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 17636986, $8,269 (86% win rate)
- 0x5634...d81a — Outcome 17636986, $5,118 (78% win rate)
- 0x308d...3519 — Outcome 17636986, $4,145 (75% win rate)
- 0x6c08...5c69 — Outcome 17636986, $4,000
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 17636986, $3,764 (43% win rate)
