Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
This Polymarket prediction market covers the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds on July 27 at 7:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team; a cancellation without a make-up game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter tracks $9,787 in smart money across one signal, with recent activity backing both the Reds and Guardians.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 27 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,121.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
93% winner scaling into Reds
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $3,283 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position despite the market being near fair value.
- This bettor has won 41 of 44 resolved positions and earned $1.45 million in reported P&L.
- They are adding $3,283 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment to roughly $8,847.
- The Reds trade entered at 59¢ while the market is around 58%, so the edge relies on the bettor’s exceptional track record rather than a cheap price.
$9,787 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% winner scaling into Reds
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $3,283 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position despite the market being near fair value.
- This bettor has won 41 of 44 resolved positions and earned $1.45 million in reported P&L.
- They are adding $3,283 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment to roughly $8,847.
- The Reds trade entered at 59¢ while the market is around 58%, so the edge relies on the bettor’s exceptional track record rather than a cheap price.
$7,050 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%
79% win-rate serial bettor backs Cleveland
A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,000 bet on Cleveland at 42%.
- This bettor wins 79% of trades across 90 resolved positions and is up $239,119.
- The $2,000 Cleveland position is a fresh bet at 42%, near the current 42% market price.
- The wallet has traded 58 events and 75 markets, showing a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off wager.
$2,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 79%
93% winner scaling into Reds
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $3,283 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position despite the market being near fair value.
- This bettor has won 41 of 44 resolved positions and earned $1.45 million in reported P&L.
- They are adding $3,283 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment to roughly $8,847.
- The Reds trade entered at 59¢ while the market is around 58%, so the edge relies on the bettor’s exceptional track record rather than a cheap price.
$3,283 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% win-rate bettor scaling Cleveland
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $543K lifetime profit is adding to an existing Cleveland position at 41¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,281 resolved positions and is up approximately $543,000.
- They are adding to an existing $4,880 Cleveland position rather than making a routine one-off trade.
- The 41¢ entry implies roughly 2.4-to-1 gross upside if Cleveland wins, well below the market's 60% Cincinnati pricing.
$2,001 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x5e94...5ba1 — Cleveland Guardians, $184,055 (48% win rate)
- 0x84db...aeeb — Cincinnati Reds, $77,573 (51% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Cincinnati Reds, $34,594 (93% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Cincinnati Reds, $17,311 (74% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Cleveland Guardians, $13,965 (55% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Cincinnati Reds, $11,925 (54% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Cincinnati Reds, $11,238 (63% win rate)
- 0x629c...6c01 — Cincinnati Reds, $11,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Cleveland Guardians, $10,654 (58% win rate)
- 0xd104...acef — Cincinnati Reds, $10,000 (86% win rate)
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