Part of: Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,365.

Notable Trades

98% winner adds to Sonego

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor is adding to an existing Sonego position at 39%, with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge.

This bettor has won 98% of 41 resolved positions and is up nearly $90,000.
They are adding $2,410 to an existing Sonego position at 39%, signaling continued conviction.
The trader has participated across 38 events and 39 markets, showing a consistent repeatable approach rather than a one-off bet.

$2,410 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp serial trader buys Sonego

A proven, high-volume serial trader with a 77% win rate bought Sonego at 39% amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 77% of 526 resolved trades and is up $438,278 lifetime.
They are buying the 39% underdog, implying meaningful value despite Tiafoe being favored at 62%.
Market volume is running 884 times its historical average, adding weight to the fresh position.

$1,229 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 77%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly experienced bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is placing $4,575 on Frances Tiafoe at 61%.

This bettor has won 1,878 of 1,897 resolved positions, with a 99% win rate and $17.3M lifetime profit.
The wallet is making a fresh $4,575 bet on Frances Tiafoe at 61%, despite typically entering positions at an average 56%.
It has traded across 1,037 events and 1,117 markets, indicating a broad and unusually consistent track record.

$4,575 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 99%

97% Win-Rate Tennis Bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and $254,185 profit placed a fresh $1,000 bet on Frances Tiafoe.

This bettor has won 945 of 973 resolved positions, with $254,185 in recorded profit.
The $1,000 bet backs Frances Tiafoe at 61¢ in a liquid tennis market.
They have traded across 166 markets and 153 events, showing a sustained cross-market track record.

$1,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% winner adds to Sonego

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding to an existing Sonego position at 40 cents.

This bettor has won 50 of 51 resolved positions and earned $212,040 in reported P&L.
The trader is scaling into Sonego, already holding $6,454 and adding another $1,951 at 40¢.
They have traded across 49 events for $204,831 in volume, indicating a broad and repeatable track record.

$1,951 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 98%

Serial sharp backs Sonego underdog

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh $1,200 position on the 39% underdog.

This bettor has won 80% of 1,091 resolved trades and earned nearly $600,000 in profit.
The wallet has traded across 291 events, suggesting substantial cross-market experience rather than a one-off bet.
A fresh $1,200 purchase at 39¢ backs Sonego despite the market assigning him only a 38% chance.

$1,200 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 47272219, $26,366 (71% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 47272219, $20,733 (65% win rate)
0x7523...4c4c — Outcome 47272219, $10,000 (49% win rate)
0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 47272219, $7,203 (73% win rate)
0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 47272219, $6,946 (97% win rate)
0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 47272219, $6,454 (98% win rate)
0x99aa...6c5a — Outcome 47272219, $6,225 (93% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 47272219, $4,371 (85% win rate)
0x6340...e272 — Outcome 47272219, $4,360 (73% win rate)
0x5d7e...2ef7 — Outcome 47272219, $3,340 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe

ResolvedCincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe$12,365 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Frances Tiafoe”

68¢

62¢

57¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction