Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,003.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Three-wallet cluster with two profitable bettors

Three wallets bought Francisco Prado during a major volume spike and sharp upward move, including two profitable bettors with strong records, though the market now shows 100%.

  • Three wallets put $4,656 on Francisco Prado as volume surged 61.6× and the price jumped.
  • Two bettors have profitable records: one wins 86% of 22 bets, and another wins 71% of 76.
  • They entered between 58¢ and 80¢, but the market now shows 100%, so the original entry may no longer be available.

$4,655 on Francisco Prado

Profitable serial trader backs Prado

A highly experienced, profitable trader with an 82% win rate backed a 363x event-volume spike by buying Francisco Prado at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 1,428 resolved markets and is up $604,091.
  • They bought Francisco Prado at 58¢ as event volume spiked to 363 times its historical average.
  • The $3,888 position adds weight to a move into a market with more than $200,000 in 24-hour volume.

$3,888 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven 84% winner backs Prado

A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate across more than 10,000 resolved bets bought Francisco Prado at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 10,490 resolved bets and is up $1.4M.
  • They put $1,160 on Francisco Prado at 58¢, adding a specific fight pick to a record spanning 365 events.

$1,160 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 86%

95% winner adding to Prado

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate added $5,300 to an existing Francisco Prado position, making this a strong conviction signal.

  • This bettor has won 38 of 40 resolved positions and is up $92,213 overall.
  • They added $5,300 to an existing Prado position, bringing their investment in it to about $15,300.
  • They entered at 53¢, near the current 52¢ market price.

$5,300 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 96%

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UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ismael Bonfim
0¢
Francisco Prado
100¢

This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

2026-10-10 23:19 UTC

$4,655 on Francisco Prado at 62¢

62¢→100¢↑38¢

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

2026-10-10 23:08 UTC

$3,888 on Francisco Prado at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

2026-10-10 12:58 UTC

$1,160 on Francisco Prado at 58¢

58¢→100¢↑42¢

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)

2026-10-09 19:18 UTC

$5,300 on Francisco Prado at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Related Theses