Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Dota 2 BLAST Slam Playoffs lower bracket semifinal between Aurora and LGD Gaming, a best-of-three match scheduled for June 6 at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with $2,864 in smart money tracked and 2 smart money signals currently flagged by PolySpotter.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between Aurora and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $378,829.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 36¢ before the market moved to 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $220,909 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 108 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought Aurora at 36¢ and the market has already moved to 46¢.
$1,070 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable bettor joined cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 3-wallet LGD push, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has traded 323 resolved markets with a 64% win rate and is up about $30k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought LGD in the same window, totaling about $6.3k on one side.
- The entry was 68¢, but LGD has since fallen to 40¢, so the trade is now available far below their price.
$1,749 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 65%
Proven cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $220k profit is buying LGD at 39¢ despite recent market weakness.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $220,909 lifetime.
- They have traded across 108 events and 152 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Entry at 39¢ implies roughly a 2.6x payout if LGD wins.
$1,115 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable esports regular joins cluster
Strong esports bettor with a long profitable record bought LGD alongside one-sided cluster flow and a sharp price move from 44¢ to 53¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 115 resolved bets and is up $103K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought LGD in the same window for $12.3K total, pushing the price up about 18 points.
- Entry at 44¢ beat the current 53¢ market, showing the move was early and directional.
$2,000 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor joined LGD flow
Sharp Dota bettor with a 79% win record exited Aurora just before a 10-point move toward LGD, alongside one-sided LGD flow from 5 wallets.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $46.6K lifetime.
- Their Aurora sell is equivalent to buying LGD at 43¢, before LGD moved to 53¢.
- Five wallets are all positioned the same way on LGD, totaling $12.3K.
$1,006 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%
91% winner buying Aurora
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor is buying Aurora, backed by serial cross-market activity and same-side flow from other wallets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $384K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 144 events tracked and the same 91% win rate.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same direction, totaling about $9.6K.
$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Proven profitable esports bettor with a 75% record is buying Aurora alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $220,909 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 108 events with $662,205 tracked volume.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $9,644 on that side.
$1,944 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial bettor backing Aurora
A profitable high-volume serial bettor bought Aurora, with 4-wallet same-side flow adding support despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 448 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $298K in profit.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window for $9.6K total, suggesting coordinated one-sided conviction.
- The market has moved against the 66¢ entry to 48¢, so the same side is now available much cheaper.
$4,700 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 64%
96% winner buying LGD
Elite 96% win-rate bettor with $445k lifetime profit bought LGD, alongside one-sided flow and a 20-point price move.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
- They bought LGD at 46¢ before it moved to 52¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
- Three wallets are all buying LGD, with $5k of one-sided flow into the same outcome.
$1,025 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
91% winner backing LGD
Surfacing because a highly profitable 91% lifetime bettor is buying LGD, with supporting one-sided flow and cross-market positioning in the same event.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $384k lifetime.
- They have $17k positioned across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader Dota thesis.
- Three wallets bought LGD in the same direction, totaling about $5k of recent flow.
$2,500 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — LGD Gaming, $1,085,358 (62% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Aurora, $346,282 (62% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — LGD Gaming, $275,256 (97% win rate)
- 0x0286...f61d — Aurora, $165,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x500f...94bf — Aurora, $136,106 (73% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Aurora, $84,717 (44% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Aurora, $77,002 (62% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — LGD Gaming, $56,191 (94% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Aurora, $50,248 (73% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Aurora, $50,000 (76% win rate)
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