Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud
This prediction market covers the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Casper Ruud, scheduled for April 9 at 6:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or delays beyond 7 days leading to special resolution rules. Traders are watching this market closely alongside smart money activity, with $4,208 tracked across recent signals.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,687.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
83% serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate bought into a fast-moving tennis favorite during a sharp volume and price spike, making this momentum trade worth watching despite the rich price.
- This bettor has won 83% of 390 resolved markets across 379 events, showing a strong record in event-driven trading.
- They bought during a 23x volume spike as Felix jumped 16 points in 4 minutes, suggesting they trust the move.
- The entry was expensive at 82¢, so this looks more like a strong favorite confirmation than a deep value play.
$1,553 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor chasing steam
A proven profitable sports bettor bought into a sharp pre-match move on Felix as volume and price accelerated, making this worth surfacing despite the moderate size.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $334k across 737 resolved bets
- The market saw a 23x volume spike and Felix jumped 16 points in 4 minutes before this buy
- They paid 84¢ in a liquid market, signaling they still saw value even after the move
$2,655 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 75%
79% winner buys dip
A very active sports trader with a 79% win rate bought Casper Ruud during a sharp pre-match move, taking 28¢ on an underdog now trading at 16¢.
- This bettor has won 2,255 of 2,851 resolved markets, a 79% hit rate across 140 events
- They bought Casper Ruud at 28¢ during a fast 16-point move, and the market is now down to 16¢
- The market saw a 28x pre-match volume spike, suggesting unusually strong positioning ahead of the match
$1,284 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 79%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A repeat new wallet has already put nearly $97k into flagged bets and just made a $20k momentum buy in a major tennis market during a sharp pre-match volume and price spike.
- This new wallet has been flagged 6 times already and has put nearly $97k into similar bets
- The bettor bought $20.4k of Felix during a 26x volume spike as the price jumped 16 points in 4 minutes
- The trade is large enough to matter, but the market is still liquid enough to follow near the same level
$20,381 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 100%
96% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate sold Felix at 66¢, which translates to buying Casper Ruud around 34¢ after a quick price spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $81k on $201k invested
- They have made 30 cross-market bets with the same strong record, which suggests a repeatable edge
- They sold Felix after a fast 16-point move up, which is equivalent to buying Casper Ruud at about 34¢
$1,298 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% hitter buys Ruud
A proven 96% win-rate trader joined a 4-wallet move into Casper Ruud around 48-51¢ during a sharp pre-match volume spike, creating a copyable contrarian entry despite mixed flow on both sides.
- A bettor who wins 96% of their trades and is up $81k joined this move into Casper Ruud.
- Four wallets bought Ruud for $5.5k total at 48-51¢ during a 14.9x pre-match volume spike.
- Ruud now trades at 35¢, far below their entry, showing these buyers were willing to take a much more aggressive view.
$5,466 on Casper Ruud
83% winner joins Felix move
A highly profitable 83% win-rate sports trader joined coordinated buying on Felix as the market moved sharply in that direction, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $426.7k across 1,263 resolved markets
- The trade was a sell of Ruud at 37¢, which is equivalent to buying Felix at 63¢
- Three wallets put $8.5k on Felix together while Ruud's price dropped 16 points in 4 minutes
$2,483 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market track record bought into a sharp pre-match move on Ruud during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has 156 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up about $47k overall
- They trade heavily across sports markets — 170 markets and $1.19M in total volume suggests a real repeatable process
- Ruud was bought at 62¢ during a 28.6x volume spike after a fast 16-point move, showing conviction around a live market shift
$1,532 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 65%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate bought Felix during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $426.7k across 1,263 bets
- They trade heavily across sports markets with strong results: 1,207 markets and $1.61M deployed
- Bought Felix at 46¢ during a 35x volume spike after a fast 16-point move, suggesting real conviction
$1,476 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp contrarian Ruud cluster
Three wallets piled into the Ruud side during a heavy pre-match volume spike, including one very active 79% win-rate cross-market trader, making this a modest but notable contrarian cluster worth watching.
- Three wallets all bet Casper Ruud as the market moved hard against him, creating a clear contrarian cluster at 19-28¢.
- One wallet has a 79% win rate across 251 markets and more than $3.1M traded across 140 events.
- This came during a 23x pre-match volume spike, suggesting real money was repositioning fast before the match.
$3,618 on Casper Ruud
Top Holders
- 0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 10172939, $75,931 (56% win rate)
- 0xd9ad...a55c — Outcome 61341373, $40,380 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10172939, $39,031 (73% win rate)
- 0x5fea...78b1 — Outcome 10172939, $25,000
- 0xcb84...08a9 — Outcome 10172939, $22,245 (65% win rate)
- 0x5d76...9168 — Outcome 61341373, $19,030 (54% win rate)
- 0xe7a2...ae70 — Outcome 61341373, $14,365 (53% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 10172939, $12,543 (94% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Outcome 61341373, $12,231 (50% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 10172939, $11,207 (52% win rate)
