Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,468.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New profitable wallet joins 7-wallet push

Strong coordinated Top Esports buying: a 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit joined a 7-wallet one-sided flow during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A 4-day-old bettor with $1,290 profit is making another large Top Esports buy.
  • Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $17,570 on Top Esports.
  • Market activity spiked 336x before the match, suggesting a wave of fresh conviction.

$2,559 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 74%

86% winner backs underdog

Strong sharp-bettor signal: an 86% winner with $278k profit and extensive cross-market history bought $9.1k of Top Esports at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $278k lifetime.
  • They have traded 49 markets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • The $9.1k buy at 45¢ backs Top Esports as an underdog despite the market pricing them near 44%.

$9,151 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 88%

86% winner backing underdog

Sharp esports bettor with an 86% resolved win record and extensive cross-market history bought Top Esports at 46¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $278k lifetime.
  • They have traded 48 markets across 33 events, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Entry at 46¢ backs Top Esports as a slight underdog despite the wallet’s strong track record.

$4,582 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 88%

76% winner backing AL

Proven profitable esports bettor with a 76% record and +$72.6k P&L bought $2.4k of Anyone's Legend at 43¢ in a low-liquidity market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $72.6k lifetime.
  • They bought $2.4k of Anyone's Legend at 43¢, below the market’s current roughly 50¢ pricing.
  • The bet is meaningful for a market with only $3.3k liquidity.

$2,400 on Anyone's Legend | Wallet win rate: 81%

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$3,776 | Wallet win rate: 59%

94% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp serial esports trader with a 94% resolved win rate is buying Top Esports at 45¢ despite the market pricing them as a slight underdog.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $188,959 lifetime.
  • They have bet across 30 similar events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies they see Top Esports as mispriced versus the market’s 44–45¢ range.

$2,000 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xaf78...7736 Outcome 28134628, $31,482 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x4421...80d2 Outcome 28134628, $17,141
  3. 0x6135...efa0 Outcome 28134628, $14,356 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xef27...381b Outcome 28134628, $9,302 (43% win rate)
  5. 0x8725...eb10 Outcome 28134628, $8,412 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x3445...d229 Outcome 28134628, $5,400
  7. 0x684e...2d3a Outcome 28134628, $5,000
  8. 0x6130...a7a6 Outcome 28134628, $4,083 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x34a5...9450 Outcome 28134628, $4,058 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x886e...afd6 Outcome 28134628, $3,873 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$24,468 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

19d ago

$2,559 on Top Esports at 44¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

19d ago

$9,151 on Top Esports at 45¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

20d ago

$4,582 on Top Esports at 46¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

20d ago

$2,400 on Anyone's Legend at 43¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

21d ago

$3,776

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

21d ago

$2,000 on Top Esports at 45¢

Related Theses