Part of: Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,402.

Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Gold, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

6-wallet funded cluster

Six linked wallets with a known shared funder are coordinating on Down in a modest-liquidity gold daily market, with this buy representing a large share of recent volume despite only average standalone wallet results.

  • Six linked wallets funded by the same address are all positioned on this side, suggesting one actor is spreading a coordinated bet.
  • This $1.37K Down buy was large for the market, equal to about 61% of recent 24h volume.
  • The market has already moved sharply toward Down, with Up dropping 27.5 points over the past day.

$1,370 on Down | Wallet win rate: 56%

88% winning macro sharp

Surface this because a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down in a thin gold daily market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $166K lifetime across 699 markets.
  • They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $4.7M deployed across 229 markets in 147 events.
  • The $1K buy is large for this quiet market, nearly half of the last 24h volume.

$1,032 on Down | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xedcc...4d5e Outcome 94004003, $1,158
  2. 0x204b...8ca3 Outcome 94004003, $542
  3. 0xced4...5055 Outcome 94004003, $149
  4. 0xa9b0...e099 Outcome 94004003, $109
  5. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 94004003, $100
  6. 0x250c...2774 Outcome 94004003, $100
  7. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 94004003, $50
  8. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 94004003, $50
  9. 0x6350...87aa Outcome 94004003, $47
  10. 0xba05...4e58 Outcome 94004003, $45

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Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

ResolvedGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?$2,402 tracked2 signalsFinanceCommoditiesDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceGoldRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on May 11, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on May 11, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET on that date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined using the official daily close price of the CME COMEX Gold Futures (GC) futures contract for that trading day. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session will be considered. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

14d ago

$1,370 on Down at 79¢

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

14d ago

$1,032 on Down at 69¢

Related Theses