Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Marin Cilic and Moise Kouame, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $3,698 in smart money and 2 smart money signals on this matchup.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Moise Kouame in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Moise Kouame. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,010.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp 88% tennis bettor
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate bought Moise Kouame at 83¢ before the market moved to 96¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $6,917 lifetime.
- They bought Moise Kouame at 83¢ before the price jumped to 96¢.
- The entry has already moved 13 points, so this is more of a sharp-wallet follow than a chase.
$1,079 on Moise Kouame | Wallet win rate: 88%
78% winner flips sides
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 78% long-run win rate flipped from Cilic to Kouame after a major price move.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $29.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 33 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- They closed a Cilic position and bought Kouame at 89¢ after Kouame’s odds surged sharply.
$2,619 on Moise Kouame | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Kouame before a major odds move, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and 16-point price impact.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,855 resolved trades, 66% wins, and about $32.8K profit.
- They bought Kouame at 62¢ before the market jumped to 84¢, showing the trade was ahead of a big move.
- Market volume spiked 82x above normal, suggesting broader money also rushed into the same side.
$1,128 on Moise Kouame | Wallet win rate: 66%
90% winner buying dip
Highly profitable 90% win-rate bettor bought Marin Cilic amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $64k lifetime.
- Five wallets are all buying Marin Cilic, totaling about $9.1k in the same direction.
- Market volume is 31x normal, and Cilic has fallen sharply, making this look like a high-conviction dip buy.
$1,008 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 90%
Five-wallet Kouame surge
Strong one-sided Kouame flow from 5 wallets, a 134x pre-event volume spike, and meaningful price impact make this a notable tennis positioning alert despite some opposing Cilic buying.
- Five wallets bought $20.9K of Kouame, pushing him from cheaper entries around 59–78¢ to 84¢ now.
- The market saw a 134x volume spike before the match, with Kouame moving up about 19 percentage points.
- One Kouame buyer has won 91% of resolved bets and is up $8.6K, while several others are profitable high-volume sports wallets.
$20,869 on Moise Kouame
Proven sharp buying Cilic
Surfacing because a highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Marin Cilic amid a one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $431K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 87 events and $207K in similar positioning.
- Five wallets bought Marin Cilic in the same window, with market volume running 31x above normal.
$1,805 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial bettor backing Cilic
High composite alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market bettor buying Marin Cilic alongside one-sided wallet flow and a 31x volume spike, despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has a strong long-term record: 66% wins across 137 resolved bets and +$122,910 profit.
- Five wallets bought Marin Cilic in the same window, totaling $9,078 on one side of the market.
- Cilic is now 44¢ versus this bettor’s 49¢ entry, so the same position is currently available cheaper.
$2,000 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 66%
24-for-24 sharp bettor
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 24-for-24 with positive lifetime P&L and bought Marin Cilic despite the alert’s low standalone score.
- This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved trades and is up $2.6K lifetime.
- They backed Marin Cilic with a $1.0K buy at 81¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- The market is now around 76¢, meaning followers may be able to enter below the bettor’s price.
$1,013 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 100%
High-volume sports sharp
Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $372k lifetime profit is buying Marin Cilic at 77¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 712 resolved trades and is up $372k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 457 events with $1.9M in tracked volume.
- Entry at 77¢ backs Cilic as a solid favorite with room if the market keeps drifting upward.
$1,500 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 74%
92% winner buying favorite
A proven sports bettor with a 92% record and $313k lifetime profit is buying Marin Cilic at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $313,739 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 45 events and $227,335 flagged across similar activity.
- Entry at 77¢ suggests they still see value despite Cilic already being the clear favorite.
$4,491 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Moise Kouame, $31,568 (57% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Marin Cilic, $27,916 (56% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Moise Kouame, $18,481 (53% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Marin Cilic, $17,762
- 0xde9f...d43c — Moise Kouame, $16,647 (50% win rate)
- 0x979f...4032 — Marin Cilic, $13,082 (92% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Moise Kouame, $11,463 (50% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Marin Cilic, $6,939 (91% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Marin Cilic, $6,200 (90% win rate)
- 0xa5eb...93bf — Marin Cilic, $5,728 (66% win rate)
