Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,602.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp underdog bettor
Sharp wallet with a 79% record and positive lifetime P&L made a $10k underdog tennis bet, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved positions and is up $23.6k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 26 events and $148.6k traded with the same 79% win rate.
- They bought Cerundolo at 20¢, but the market now prices him near 3¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$9,999 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina before a major pre-match volume and price move.
- This bettor has traded 1,941 resolved markets and is up about $40K lifetime.
- Market volume spiked 53x, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has already moved from about 76% to 94% in the last day.
- The trader entered at 90¢, implying confidence in the heavy favorite despite already-short odds.
$1,818 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets are buying the Cerundolo underdog, including a 97% winner up $3.6M and a high-volume serial trader up $16.4M.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.6M bought Cerundolo at 16¢.
- Three wallets put nearly $8K on the same underdog side despite Cerundolo trading around 16%.
- Another buyer is a massive serial trader with $16.4M lifetime profit across over 17,000 resolved bets.
$7,995 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo
97% winner backs underdog
Despite a weak detection score, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet is taking a $21k underdog position.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.56M lifetime.
- They put $21k on the 24¢ underdog, implying they see meaningful upset value.
- The market is fairly liquid, so the standout signal is the wallet’s exceptional track record.
$21,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
Serial sports winner backing favorite
High-volume serial sports trader with a 79% resolved win rate is buying the favorite in a liquid Wimbledon match, despite the wallet showing negative lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets across 242 markets.
- They are a major cross-market sports trader, with $737k tracked across 139 events.
- Entry at 78¢ suggests a lower-upside but high-confidence favorite bet.
$2,790 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 21310440, $101,168 (96% win rate)
- 0xe35d...9900 — Outcome 21310440, $6,992
- 0xdc0c...218a — Outcome 21310440, $6,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 21310440, $3,966
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 21310440, $3,250 (33% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 21310440, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 21310440, $2,802 (94% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 21310440, $2,500 (39% win rate)
- 0xd034...eece — Outcome 21310440, $2,000
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 21310440, $1,834 (74% win rate)
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