Part of: Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,297.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa Libertadores
Notable Trades
92% winner backs Palmeiras Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate added heavily to Yes alongside a $55,924 five-wallet cluster, though larger linked No buying makes the signal contested.
- A bettor who wins 92% of 193 trades committed roughly $40,000 to Yes around 53–54¢ and is up $2.4 million lifetime.
- Five wallets bought Yes for $55,924, helping drive the market from roughly 54¢ to 78% implied probability.
- The signal is contested: 14 linked wallets bought $167,548 of No, so the opposing flow warrants caution.
$55,924 on Yes
Sharp bettor in 14-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable sharp bettor joined a 14-wallet, two-funder coordinated No position despite the market pricing Palmeiras at 78% to win.
- This bettor wins 88% of 583 resolved positions and is up $2.39 million, while typically buying around 49¢.
- Fourteen wallets bought No for $167,548, with two shared funders backing the coordinated position.
- The trade bought No at 47¢ even though Yes was priced at 78%, a strong contrarian position in a liquid market.
$6,662 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor joins 14-wallet No cluster
A proven high-volume bettor added to a large, linked 14-wallet No position despite Palmeiras being priced as a 78% favorite.
- This bettor has won 273 of 273 resolved trades and is up $465,672.
- Fourteen linked wallets are betting No with $167,548 collectively, signaling concentrated conviction.
- The wallet added $4,700 to an existing No position at 47¢ while Palmeiras was a 78% favorite.
$4,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
14-wallet linked No cluster
A 14-wallet, partially linked cluster has built a large No position, supported by a highly experienced serial trader with 1,158 resolved bets and $383,128 in profit.
- Fourteen wallets are betting No with $167,548 committed, and two share a funding source.
- This trader has won 73% of 1,158 resolved bets and is up $383,128 lifetime.
- The wallet bought No at 50¢ while the market now prices it near 22¢, indicating the position has moved against the cluster so far.
$7,011 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 96699351, $112,321 (59% win rate)
- 0xa18c...d792 — Outcome 96699351, $26,827 (67% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 96699351, $23,987 (43% win rate)
- 0xc6b1...78fd — Outcome 96699351, $23,817 (93% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 96699351, $23,625 (88% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 96699351, $22,222 (74% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 96699351, $19,788 (64% win rate)
- 0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 96699351, $12,427 (71% win rate)
- 0x3b62...5cc8 — Outcome 96699351, $10,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x8868...ec09 — Outcome 96699351, $9,360 (59% win rate)
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