Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 3?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,737.

Categories: Recurring, Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50, Weather, Madrid, Daily Temperature

Notable Trades

98% win-rate contrarian

A serial cross-market trader with a 98% win rate just took a sizable contrarian No position against a 92% Yes market in a low-liquidity weather contract.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades across 1,429 markets and has traded nearly $922k total
  • They bought No at 87¢ while the market now prices Yes at 92%, a strong contrarian call against the crowd
  • The $1.7k order was large versus a market with just $276 of liquidity, showing real conviction in a thin contract

$1,737 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 41451602, $2,761
  2. 0x43cb...84df Outcome 59275698, $744
  3. 0xbfe6...1bfa Outcome 59275698, $415
  4. 0xfbb7...6f27 Outcome 59275698, $400
  5. 0x0a18...364c Outcome 59275698, $199
  6. 0x0649...d4f2 Outcome 59275698, $189
  7. 0x7d90...8dcb Outcome 59275698, $189
  8. 0x8f93...e71f Outcome 59275698, $189
  9. 0xec85...b63f Outcome 59275698, $189
  10. 0xba2d...2f32 Outcome 59275698, $155

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 3?

Resolved$1,737 tracked1 signalRecurringRewards Automation 50 4.5 50WeatherMadridHide From NewDaily Temperature

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Notable Trades

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 3?

5d ago

$1,737 on No at 87¢

Related Theses