Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
42 smart money signals detected, totaling $172,993.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Sharp BTC bettor buying longshot
Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought a cheap Yes position on a liquid BTC milestone market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $14.9K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 6¢, a longshot entry with large upside if BTC spikes before month-end.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is part of an ongoing profitable pattern.
$2,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable BTC range trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is adding a small Yes position as part of a broader $131k Bitcoin range thesis across six related markets.
- This bettor is up $308k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 172 related events and are positioning across 6 markets in this Bitcoin set.
- Entry at 6¢ is a long-shot bet, but the wallet appears to be expressing a broader BTC range view.
$1,371 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable BTC positioner
Profitable wallet with $316k lifetime P&L is making a cheap upside BTC bet while carrying nearly $40k across related markets.
- This bettor is up $316k lifetime on $871k invested, despite a modest 58% win rate.
- They have nearly $40k positioned across related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC thesis.
- Entry at 7¢ is a long-shot bet with roughly 14x payout if Bitcoin touches $85k in May.
$3,735 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%
83% winner buying NO
Sharp crypto bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market No position against BTC reaching $85k in May.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $88k lifetime.
- They have put $19.6k across 3 related BTC markets, showing a broader bearish thesis.
- Buying No at 90¢ suggests they see the 8–9% Yes price as still too high.
$7,265 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% win-rate serial sharp
Surfacing because a highly proven serial cross-market trader with 92% win rate and +$2.38M P&L bought No at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.38M lifetime.
- They are a huge serial cross-market trader, with $4.4M placed across 485 markets.
- They bought No at 90¢, backing Bitcoin not reaching $85,000 in May despite already-heavy No pricing.
$9,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp serial crypto trader
Sharp serial cross-market crypto bettor with a 76% win rate is reducing No exposure, equivalent to a bullish Yes entry at 11¢.
- This bettor has won 76% of 1,150 resolved trades and is up about $299K lifetime.
- They are active across 4 related Bitcoin markets with nearly $28K in this event.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, though this may be reducing an existing No position.
$4,898 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable cross-market BTC trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side as part of a larger 4-market Bitcoin thesis, with a long history of crypto/event positioning and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is up about $402K lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved trades.
- They have traded 57 related events and are now positioned across 4 markets in this Bitcoin event.
- Buying No at 89¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Bitcoin will not hit the target in May.
$2,209 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
92% winner buying NO
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and +$74k lifetime P&L bought $3.9k of No despite only a weak detection signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $74k lifetime.
- They put $3.9k on No at 90¢, aligning with the current market view that Bitcoin will not hit $85k in May.
- The wallet has nearly $953k in past invested volume, so this is backed by a meaningful track record.
$3,868 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable BTC cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a coordinated cross-market Bitcoin thesis, with $91k spread across 6 related markets and a fresh Yes buy at 10¢.
- This bettor is up $322k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved bets.
- They have $91k positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC rebound thesis.
- Entry at 10¢ is a long-shot bet that Bitcoin touches $85k before May ends.
$1,083 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp cross-market crypto bettor
A profitable crypto wallet made a $10.9k No bet while showing repeated cross-market positioning in the same Bitcoin event.
- This bettor has won all 6 resolved bets shown and is up $1.5k.
- They put $10.9k on No while also positioning across related Bitcoin markets.
- Buying No at 90¢ shows strong conviction that Bitcoin stays below $85k in May.
$10,884 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
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