Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca, scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 15, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,009 in smart money and 1 signal, including recent tennis steam and favorite-fading alerts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Hamad Medjedovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,439.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A profitable sports bettor with an 85% track record is fading Hamad despite a major price run-up, and the market has since moved further against their trade.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.3K on $10.3K invested.
- They sold Hamad at 76¢ after a major move, implying a contrarian bet on Joao at 24¢.
- Hamad has since climbed to 88¢, so the same Joao side is now much cheaper than the trader’s implied entry.
$1,009 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 85%
7-wallet tennis steam move
Seven wallets converged on Hamad Medjedovic, driving a major repricing from long-shot territory to 88%, with several profitable traders involved.
- Seven wallets all backed Hamad Medjedovic for $16.4K in the same window.
- The price moved sharply from roughly 38¢ to 88¢ after the flow.
- Several wallets are profitable long-term, including one up $470K and another with an 80% record.
$16,430 on Hamad Medjedovic
Top Holders
- 0x88d1...18da — Joao Fonseca, $73,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Hamad Medjedovic, $63,075 (50% win rate)
- 0xb0da...f3f0 — Hamad Medjedovic, $43,956 (68% win rate)
- 0x9c87...2e1c — Joao Fonseca, $40,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x38c2...d3a7 — Joao Fonseca, $34,681 (52% win rate)
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Hamad Medjedovic, $33,804 (99% win rate)
- 0x4f75...af7e — Joao Fonseca, $30,714 (77% win rate)
- 0x153a...9d6d — Hamad Medjedovic, $21,156 (63% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Joao Fonseca, $15,330 (67% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Hamad Medjedovic, $10,791 (49% win rate)
