Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 15, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $4,520 in smart money across 2 signals, including tennis steam and sharp-bettor fade alerts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Hamad Medjedovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,959.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
1-day 7-for-7 tennis wallet
A 1-day-old wallet with a 7-for-7 record and $16k profit bought Hamad at 32¢ before the market moved to 100¢, making it a strong wallet-to-follow signal though the entry is gone.
- This 1-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 and up $16,030 so far.
- They bought Hamad at 32¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This is their 4th flagged large bet, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
$1,312 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable sports regular faded Fonseca
A profitable high-volume sports trader effectively bought Hamad Medjedovic at 67¢ and the market moved to 100%, reinforcing a sharp directional call.
- This bettor wins 67% of resolved markets and is up $322K lifetime.
- They have traded across 149 events with $1.9M in recent cross-market volume.
- Selling Joao at 33¢ was equivalent to buying Hamad at 67¢ before Hamad moved to 100%.
$3,208 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A profitable sports bettor with an 85% track record is fading Hamad despite a major price run-up, and the market has since moved further against their trade.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.3K on $10.3K invested.
- They sold Hamad at 76¢ after a major move, implying a contrarian bet on Joao at 24¢.
- Hamad has since climbed to 88¢, so the same Joao side is now much cheaper than the trader’s implied entry.
$1,009 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 85%
7-wallet tennis steam move
Seven wallets converged on Hamad Medjedovic, driving a major repricing from long-shot territory to 88%, with several profitable traders involved.
- Seven wallets all backed Hamad Medjedovic for $16.4K in the same window.
- The price moved sharply from roughly 38¢ to 88¢ after the flow.
- Several wallets are profitable long-term, including one up $470K and another with an 80% record.
$16,430 on Hamad Medjedovic
Top Holders
- 0x88d1...18da — Joao Fonseca, $73,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Hamad Medjedovic, $63,075 (50% win rate)
- 0xb0da...f3f0 — Hamad Medjedovic, $43,956 (68% win rate)
- 0x9c87...2e1c — Joao Fonseca, $40,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Hamad Medjedovic, $38,672 (99% win rate)
- 0x38c2...d3a7 — Joao Fonseca, $34,681 (52% win rate)
- 0x4f75...af7e — Joao Fonseca, $30,714 (77% win rate)
- 0x153a...9d6d — Hamad Medjedovic, $21,156 (63% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Joao Fonseca, $15,330 (67% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Hamad Medjedovic, $10,791 (49% win rate)
