Part of: AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 16, 2026 If AC Milan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,889,860.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL

Notable Trades

New whale scaling into Yes

A brand-new wallet is adding roughly $1 million to an existing $4.37 million Yes position amid a massive volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.

This 51-minute-old wallet has already invested $4.37 million and added another $1.00 million to Yes.
Four wallets bought Yes for about $1.05 million during a 4,441x historical volume spike.
The wallet continued buying around 42–47¢ despite the price weakening to 42%, signaling strong conviction rather than momentum chasing.

$84,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp bettor backs AC Milan

A proven 86% win-rate bettor and a large one-sided cluster bought AC Milan Yes around 44–47%, while extraordinary volume and conflicting No flow make this a notable but high-risk signal.

A bettor with an 86% win rate and $18.4M lifetime profit effectively bought Yes near 44¢ by selling No.
Seven wallets committed $1.41M to Yes, amid a 2,278× historical volume spike.
The market has since fallen to 24¢ and 25 other wallets bought No, so the trade shows strong conviction but substantial disagreement and risk.

$1,413,612 on Yes

New whale scaling into Yes

A brand-new wallet is adding roughly $1 million to an existing $4.37 million Yes position amid a massive volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.

This 51-minute-old wallet has already invested $4.37 million and added another $1.00 million to Yes.
Four wallets bought Yes for about $1.05 million during a 4,441x historical volume spike.
The wallet continued buying around 42–47¢ despite the price weakening to 42%, signaling strong conviction rather than momentum chasing.

$1,002,665 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

18-wallet No cluster with sharp bettors

A large 18-wallet No cluster, including multiple highly profitable bettors, made a concentrated six-figure push amid an extreme volume spike, though opposing Yes flow warrants caution.

18 wallets bought No for a combined $609,775, including bettors with 79%–94% win rates and substantial profits.
The market saw a 4,442x historical volume spike, indicating unusually concentrated positioning before the match.
A separate four-wallet group bought $1.05M of Yes, so the signal is compelling but materially contested.

$290,400 on No

Sharp bettor joins seven-wallet Yes cluster

A highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate bought Yes alongside six other wallets amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 79% of 454 resolved trades and earned $1.59M in profit.
Seven wallets bought Yes with $127,551 combined, indicating unusually strong one-sided conviction.
The trade entered at 43¢, implying a potentially attractive price against the current 44% market odds.

$8,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Seven-wallet AC Milan Yes cluster

A strong coordinated Yes move involving seven wallets and $127,551, reinforced by an extreme pre-event volume spike and a highly active profitable trader adding to an existing position.

Seven wallets bought Yes for a combined $127,551, signaling unusually strong one-sided conviction.
Trading volume was nearly 9,854 times its historical average, with this wallet adding $62,519 to an existing Yes position.
The lead bettor has won 66% of 32,027 resolved trades and is up $7.8 million lifetime.

$62,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Seven-wallet coordinated Yes buying

Seven wallets placed $127,551 in coordinated Yes bets alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a strong directional signal despite the trader's only moderate 63% win rate.

Seven wallets are buying Yes, committing a combined $127,551 to AC Milan.
Trading activity was 9,854 times the historical average, signaling an unusually concentrated event-driven move.
This wallet has resolved 28,546 bets, a 63% win rate, and more than $4.1M in lifetime profit.

$2,298 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable bettor scales into Yes

A profitable bettor with an 86% win rate added nearly $25,000 to an existing Yes position in a very thin market, though the track record is based on only seven resolved bets.

This bettor has won 86% of 7 resolved bets and is up $65,241 overall.
They added nearly $25,000 to an existing AC Milan Yes position, showing increased conviction.
The position is enormous relative to the market's $848 in 24-hour volume, making the move notable despite limited corroborating signals.

$24,997 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%