Part of: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
This US Open ATP prediction market covers the match between Jiri Lehecka and Stefanos Tsitsipas, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026. The market has recorded $5,176 in tracked smart money across two signals, including buying clusters for both players; it is listed with a September 11, 2026 resolution date, subject to the market’s stated rules.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $403,094.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
37-wallet Lehecka buying cluster
A 37-wallet, six-funder cluster placed nearly $396,000 behind Jiri Lehecka, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite this wallet’s trade being a profitable exit from Tsitsipas.
- 37 wallets linked to six funders bought Jiri Lehecka for a combined $395,608.
- This wallet has a substantial 695-bet history with a 74% win rate and $535,478 in reported profit.
- The individual trade was an exit from Tsitsipas, so the coordinated Lehecka flow is more compelling than the single-wallet sale.
$3,315 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 74%
37-wallet Lehecka conviction cluster
A 37-wallet, partially linked cluster made a $395K one-sided bet on Lehecka, reinforced by a proven 86% win-rate wallet, although this specific trade was profit-taking rather than a new position.
- 37 wallets bought Jiri Lehecka for $395,608, including six wallets sharing a funder.
- One participating bettor has won 86% of 22 resolved positions and is up $19,441.
- This wallet was closing a profitable Tsitsipas position, so its individual sell is weaker evidence than the coordinated Lehecka buying.
$1,860 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 65%
33-wallet Tsitsipas cluster with sharp bettors
A $231,000 coordinated Tsitsipas thesis included multiple highly profitable bettors, including a 93% winner with 2,562 resolved positions, though the market is now effectively settled at 100%.
- Thirty-three linked wallets committed $231,000 to Tsitsipas, with opposing Lehecka sells reinforcing the same direction.
- The cluster included a bettor winning 93% of 2,562 positions at an average 53¢ entry, plus another winning 83% across 230 bets.
- Tsitsipas has already moved to 100%, so the original 39–51¢ entry is no longer available and copying now offers little value.
$231,402 on Stefanos Tsitsipas
Four-wallet Lehecka conviction cluster
Four wallets placed roughly $71,000 on Lehecka amid a 115x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated thesis despite the lead wallet's poor track record and subsequent price decline.
- Four wallets bought Lehecka for nearly $71,000, indicating coordinated conviction on the same outcome.
- The market saw a 115x historical volume spike, while this wallet added $62,850 at 61–62¢.
- The lead bettor has a poor 38% win rate and is down $1.7 million, so the signal is worth studying but carries meaningful risk.
$62,850 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 38%
Sharp bettor scaling into Tsitsipas
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to a Tsitsipas position at 39%.
- This bettor wins 78% of 178 resolved trades and is up $324,664 lifetime.
- The wallet has historically bought at roughly 37–40% odds, making the 39¢ Tsitsipas entry consistent with its proven strategy.
- This is an added position rather than a new bet, showing increased conviction despite Tsitsipas trading near 38%.
$4,825 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 75%
97% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is buying Lehecka at 62%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 253 resolved positions and is up $338,333.
- Their average winning entry is only 51%, indicating a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
- The fresh $1,849 Lehecka purchase at 62% is a meaningful directional bet in a liquid market.
$1,849 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp serial trader backs Tsitsipas
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Tsitsipas at 39%.
- This bettor has won 83% of 229 resolved positions and is up $276,790 lifetime.
- The trader is buying Tsitsipas at 39¢ despite the market pricing him near 38%, signaling meaningful confidence from a proven sharp.
- With positions across 140 markets and 114 events, this is a seasoned directional trader rather than a one-off bettor.
$1,560 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettors scaling into Lehecka
A concentrated $92.7K Lehecka position is supported by multiple highly profitable bettors, including one with a 95% win rate, despite recent price weakness.
- Six wallets deployed $92,682 toward Jiri Lehecka, with several adding to existing positions.
- One bettor has won 95% of 73 resolved bets and is up $147,307; another is up $1.45M across 1,103 bets.
- The buying occurred around 55–58¢ while Lehecka trades near 56¢, offering a potentially attractive entry despite a 6% one-day decline.
$92,682 on Jiri Lehecka
96% winner adds to Tsitsipas
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an underdog position in a thinly traded tennis market.
- This bettor has won 126 of 131 resolved positions and earned $248,719 in realized P&L.
- They are adding $2,750 to Tsitsipas at 39¢ despite the market pricing him as a 38% underdog.
- The trade is large relative to the detected $284 in 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction from a serial trader active across 127 events.
$2,750 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 34091700, $102,047 (38% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 34091700, $50,360 (81% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 34091700, $20,160 (81% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 34091700, $18,107 (76% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 34091700, $16,374 (96% win rate)
- 0x30aa...162a — Outcome 34091700, $9,379 (76% win rate)
- 0x3b80...9a99 — Outcome 34091700, $7,500 (85% win rate)
- 0xcc55...3062 — Outcome 34091700, $6,941
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 34091700, $6,429 (87% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 34091700, $5,963 (97% win rate)
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