Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the ESL One Birmingham Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 26 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,165.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A high-win-rate wallet from a 16-wallet linked cluster bought Tundra aggressively at 83¢, helping drive a sharp short-term price move in a coordinated setup worth watching despite the market later retracing.

  • This wallet wins 86% of its resolved bets and is up nearly $18k lifetime
  • 16 linked wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet
  • The buy hit at 83¢ and came during a fast 11.6-point move in about 2 minutes

$3,654 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 86%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $3.0M profit opened a fresh $4.0k position on Tundra at 52¢, making this sharp action worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime
  • They bought nearly $4.0k of Tundra at 52¢ in a liquid match market, suggesting a deliberate value bet
  • Their entry implies they saw Tundra above a coin flip, while the market is now 47¢

$3,996 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 93%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $1.3M profit bought Aurora at 47¢, and the market has already moved in their favor to 53%.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.3M across 156 settled positions
  • They trade heavily across 291 related markets and 235 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Aurora at 47¢ and the market is already up to 53¢, showing immediate follow-through

$9,483 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Three wallets piled $13.5k into Tundra, led by a bettor with a 93% win rate and $3.0M profit, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the price slipping slightly after entry.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of their trades and is up $3.0M lifetime joined this Tundra buy.
  • Three wallets all bought Tundra within minutes, putting in $13.5k total at 49¢ to 55¢.
  • One of the wallets has traded 213 markets across 161 events with a 72% win rate, suggesting a seasoned cross-market bettor.

$13,515 on Tundra Esports

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $3.0M profit bought Tundra at 51¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $3.0M across 427 resolved positions
  • They bought Tundra at 51¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they saw value before the price moved to 47¢
  • A 51¢ entry implies they viewed Tundra as better than a coin flip against current market odds

$3,515 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 93%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Despite a low composite score, this is worth surfacing because a wallet with a 96% win rate and $1.27M profit put $5,000 on Tundra during an extreme pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.27M lifetime
  • They bought Tundra at 50¢ during a 235x surge in market activity before the match
  • A $5,000 bet in a balanced 50/50 market suggests they see Tundra as mispriced

$5,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 97%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A bettor with a 96% win rate and $1.27M profit made a fresh $36k wager on Tundra at 50¢, creating a huge pre-match volume spike in a mid-liquidity esports market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime
  • They put $36k on Tundra at 50¢, a single bet bigger than the market’s full 24h volume
  • The trade triggered a 2454.8x volume spike, showing unusually strong conviction before the match

$36,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 97%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

A high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate across 481 resolved markets is buying Tundra at an even-money price, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 73% of their trades across 481 resolved markets and is up about $36k
  • They have bet nearly $769k across 472 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off swing
  • Bought Tundra at 50¢, meaning they see value even in a highly liquid coin-flip market

$3,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfbf3...b218 Aurora, $191,619 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Aurora, $25,811 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x62f2...07f8 Aurora, $14,588 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x56c9...0d9e Aurora, $14,442 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x08c2...c023 Aurora, $10,218
  6. 0x7226...2e07 Aurora, $10,000
  7. 0x124e...6802 Aurora, $7,903 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x0a63...fc03 Aurora, $6,400
  9. 0x2698...0958 Aurora, $6,000 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x345f...90af Aurora, $5,192

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Resolved$78,165 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Aurora
0¢
Tundra Esports
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the ESL One Birmingham Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 26 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

4d ago

$3,654 on Tundra Esports at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

4d ago

$3,996 on Tundra Esports at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

4d ago

$9,483 on Aurora at 47¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

5d ago

$13,515 on Tundra Esports at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

5d ago

$3,515 on Tundra Esports at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

5d ago

$5,000 on Tundra Esports at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

5d ago

$36,000 on Tundra Esports at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

5d ago

$3,000 on Tundra Esports at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Related Theses

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | PolySpotter