Part of: Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $126,402.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate is building a same-game thesis across multiple related markets, making this a credible signal despite the modest single-bet size.

  • This bettor has won 2,154 of 2,986 resolved trades and is up $1.9M lifetime
  • They've bet $9.2k across 3 markets tied to this same game, showing a broader game script view
  • Bought Timberwolves -5.5 at 52¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see the spread as mispriced

$1,021 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Pro bettor fading spread

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate and $1.9M profit bought Pelicans +5.5 at 43¢, a contrarian price that has since moved in their favor to 31¢.

  • This bettor wins 72% of nearly 3,000 resolved trades and is up $1.9M lifetime
  • They bought Pelicans +5.5 at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 31¢ in their favor
  • This wallet has traded 832 markets across 319 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$1,042 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial timer slams Pelicans

A highly profitable serial last-minute sports bettor put $118k into Pelicans +5.5 within 4 minutes of resolution and immediately moved the market from 41-42% to 57%.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.65M lifetime across 244 settled bets.
  • They repeatedly bet right before resolution, with 49 near-finish bets across 33 markets and a strong documented edge.
  • The $118k buy hit 3.4 minutes before settlement and pushed Pelicans from 41-42¢ to 57¢.

$118,104 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 50%

94% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and $164k profit is buying Pelicans +5.5 at 53¢, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth tracking despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $164k across 127 positions
  • They bought Pelicans +5.5 at 53¢, implying they see the underdog side as mispriced
  • The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate pick, not a random move

$1,881 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 94%

Linked trio backs Timberwolves

Three wallets, including a high-volume serial cross-market trader, bought Timberwolves spread at 49-50¢ in a coordinated burst, with two wallets linked by funding and profitable histories behind the flow.

  • Three wallets hit Timberwolves within 2 seconds, and two of them share a funder.
  • One wallet has bet across 214 markets and 171 events with a 62% win rate.
  • They bought at 49-50¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a clean fair-price entry rather than chasing a spike.

$4,355 on Timberwolves

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11297808, $6,818 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x1aa2...30cc Outcome 11297808, $3,792 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x78bb...591f Outcome 11297808, $3,600 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x0d13...92f3 Outcome 11297808, $2,445 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x6239...1d79 Outcome 11297808, $1,932 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x61e8...b283 Outcome 11297808, $1,795 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 11297808, $1,184 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 11297808, $1,011
  9. 0x77fe...551d Outcome 11297808, $987
  10. 0xde79...2a1b Outcome 11297808, $335

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

ResolvedPelicans vs. Timberwolves$126,402 tracked5 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

NOP
26-56
Target Center
MIN
49-33
Draft Kings
Spread: MIN -3.5O/U: 239.5ML: +150/-180
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

29d ago

$1,021 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

29d ago

$1,042 on Pelicans at 43¢

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

29d ago

$118,104 on Pelicans at 46¢

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

29d ago

$1,881 on Pelicans at 53¢

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

30d ago

$4,355 on Timberwolves at 50¢

Related Theses