Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $494,011.

Categories: NCAA, Games, NCAA Basketball, March Madness, Sports, Basketball

Notable Trades

77% winner backs Michigan

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $1.85M in profits is taking a fresh $18.5k position on Michigan -6.5 at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.85M lifetime
  • They've traded 276 markets across 220 events, so this looks like a seasoned bettor rather than a one-off whale
  • They bought Michigan at 53¢, a fairly priced entry in a liquid market that still signals clear conviction with an $18.5k stake

$18,526 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 73%

82% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with an 82% win rate bought Connecticut +6.5 at 49¢ before the market moved to 43¢, giving a strong track-record-backed entry despite the market being very liquid.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $224k across more than 1,000 bets
  • They trade heavily across 669 related markets and bought Connecticut +6.5 at 49¢ before the price moved to 43¢
  • Getting in below the current market gives a better entry, with the trade implying clear value on Connecticut against the spread

$1,575 on Connecticut Huskies | Wallet win rate: 81%

81% live sports bettor

A high-win-rate live sports bettor bought Michigan 4.9 minutes before resolution at 52¢ and the market quickly moved to 60%, suggesting timely entry with a modest edge.

  • This bettor wins 81% of nearly 1,000 resolved trades, a strong record for live sports timing.
  • They bought Michigan at 52¢ just 4.9 minutes before resolution, and the market is already at 60¢.
  • The bet is small, but it came during a 13.5x volume spike as money rushed into this market.

$1,369 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 81%

10-wallet funded cluster

A 10-wallet linked cluster with heavy prior activity is buying Connecticut +6.5 into a major pre-game volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite this wallet’s mediocre standalone edge.

  • 10 linked wallets funded by the same source have put over $11.6k on this side, a strong coordinated signal.
  • The market saw a 1527x volume spike before the game, showing money rushed in right before tip-off.
  • This wallet bets across many sports markets, but the real signal here is the cluster buying Connecticut at 49¢.

$9,847 on Connecticut Huskies | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable whale into volume spike

A very large $271.6k buy hit a high-volume college basketball spread market during an extreme pregame volume spike, and the wallet is a proven high-volume winner with over $2.27M in realized profit.

  • This bettor has made $2.27M profit across 1,167 resolved bets, so this is not a random one-off trade
  • They bought $271.6k of Connecticut +6.5 at 49¢, a huge position in a market seeing a 1,527x surge in activity
  • At 49¢ on the underdog spread side, the trade suggests they see Connecticut covering as better than a coin flip

$271,588 on Connecticut Huskies | Wallet win rate: 51%

92% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% win rate and nearly $199k in profit made a fresh $14.9k buy on Michigan -6.5, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $198.7k overall.
  • They have placed $415k across 52 related markets, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They just bought $14.9k of Michigan at 52¢, a meaningful size even in a liquid market.

$14,863 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 48%

New sharp wallet

A 15-day-old wallet with a perfect early record and $47.7k profit is making another sizable bet across the same event, suggesting a sharp new sports bettor worth tracking.

  • This 15-day-old wallet is 8 for 8 on resolved bets and already up $47.7k
  • It has made 24 flagged large bets totaling $76.8k, so this is repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Connecticut at 50¢ in a heavily traded game, a clean even-money entry on the underdog to cover

$2,463 on Connecticut Huskies | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven sharp sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 71% win rate and $5.65M profit made a sizable fresh buy on Michigan -6.5, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 781 of 1,105 resolved trades and is up $5.65M lifetime
  • They've traded 468 related markets across 389 events, showing a strong repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Michigan -6.5 at 51¢ with $20.6k, a meaningful size even in a liquid market

$20,603 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp 3-wallet late cluster

Three proven sports traders with strong historical results piled $22.1k into Michigan -6.5 at 51-52¢ just minutes before resolution, making this coordinated late bet worth watching.

  • Three wallets with strong records all bought Michigan -6.5 within 5 minutes of resolution for $22.1k total
  • The lead wallet wins 88% of resolved bets and is up nearly $400k, while another is up $5.65M lifetime
  • They entered at 51-52¢ in a near-even market, suggesting they saw Michigan covering as better than a coin flip

$22,101 on Michigan Wolverines

98% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate and +$182k realized P&L bought Michigan -6.5 into a major pregame volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their bets and is up $182k across 108 resolved positions.
  • They bought Michigan -6.5 at 52¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see clear value rather than chasing a heavy favorite.
  • Volume is running 45x above normal in this market, showing broader money is also moving before tipoff.

$4,100 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 10632033, $150,000 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10632033, $130,096 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 10632033, $54,620 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xfed8...4388 Outcome 10632033, $49,741 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x3ab4...8a00 Outcome 10632033, $32,981
  6. 0x0549...c052 Outcome 10632033, $15,900 (65% win rate)
  7. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Outcome 10632033, $11,000 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x021c...232f Outcome 10632033, $8,082 (98% win rate)
  9. 0xa996...8aac Outcome 10632033, $6,089 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x3349...c0b8 Outcome 10632033, $5,912 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

Resolved$494,011 tracked12 signalsNCAAGamesNCAA BasketballMarch MadnessSportsBasketball

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for April 6 at 8:50 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines" if the Michigan Wolverines win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Connecticut Huskies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$18,526 on Michigan Wolverines at 53¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$1,575 on Connecticut Huskies at 49¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$1,369 on Michigan Wolverines at 52¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$9,847 on Connecticut Huskies at 49¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$271,588 on Connecticut Huskies at 49¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$14,863 on Michigan Wolverines at 52¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$2,463 on Connecticut Huskies at 50¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$20,603 on Michigan Wolverines at 51¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$22,101 on Michigan Wolverines at 51¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$4,100 on Michigan Wolverines at 52¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$31,818 on Connecticut Huskies at 48¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

13d ago

$95,160 on Connecticut Huskies at 50¢

Related Theses