Part of: Colombia vs. Portugal
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $951,361.
Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
9-for-10 bettor joins cluster
High-scoring alert from a 9-for-10 sports bettor joining 8-wallet one-sided Portugal Yes flow, though the price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets, with wins coming at much tougher average odds than this entry.
- 8 wallets bought the same Portugal Yes side for about $30K total in the scan window.
- The entry was 31¢ and the market is now 26¢, so copy entries are cheaper than the flagged trade.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
10-wallet sharp Yes cluster
A 10-wallet linked cluster put $123k on Yes, with multiple proven profitable sports bettors included despite the market moving against their entry.
- Ten wallets bet $123k on the same side, with all trades effectively buying Yes around 44–45¢.
- Two strong bettors joined: one wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $182k, another wins 92% and is up $43k.
- The market has moved against them to 38¢, so the same thesis is now available cheaper than their entry.
$123,293 on Yes
Profitable serial trader buying NO
A highly experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Portugal No alongside 5-wallet one-sided flow, with the position already moving from 56¢ to 62¢.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 69% wins across 2,546 resolved bets and $111,936 profit.
- Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $16,403 on Portugal not winning.
- The trade entered at 56¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢, matching the one-sided flow.
$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Five-wallet No cluster
Surfacing due to five-wallet one-sided No buying with price momentum, despite the featured wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- Five wallets are all betting against Portugal, totaling $16.4K on the No side.
- The market has moved with them: Portugal Yes is down 14 points today.
- This trade effectively bought No at 56¢, while No is now around 62¢.
$1,058 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp joins 15-wallet No push
Sharp 84% winner with positive P&L joined a 15-wallet one-sided push buying Portugal No in a highly active market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $15,183 lifetime.
- 15 wallets are all betting the same way, putting $97,679 on Portugal not winning.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 84% hit rate.
$7,770 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
15-wallet NO flow
Surface: 15 wallets have collectively pushed nearly $98k toward No, with this serial cross-market trader joining the same side despite mixed personal profitability.
- 15 wallets are all betting against Portugal, totaling about $97.7k on the No side.
- The market has moved with them: Portugal Yes is down 7 points over the last day.
- This wallet is a frequent cross-market bettor with 551 resolved trades and a 67% win rate.
$1,059 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
15-wallet NO flow
Worth surfacing because 15 wallets bought the same No side for nearly $98K alongside a 13.5x volume spike, though the featured wallet itself is not a proven winner.
- 15 wallets all bought No in the same window, totaling about $97.7K.
- Market volume spiked 13.5x while Portugal Yes fell 7 points over 24h.
- This wallet added $9.1K, but its long-term record is weak, so the cluster flow is the main signal.
$9,114 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
97% winner backing No
Elite 97% lifetime winner placed $196k on No alongside a 32-wallet one-sided flow totaling over $1.08M.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They put $196k on Portugal not winning at 53¢, and the market has already moved to 56¢.
- 32 wallets are betting the same way, totaling $1.08M on No.
$196,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp joins 32-wallet No wave
A proven 85% winning wallet is aligned with a large 32-wallet, $1.08M one-sided move toward No, though this specific trade also closed an existing Yes position.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $6.8k lifetime.
- 32 wallets are all on the No side with $1.08M in combined flow.
- The trade is effectively a No entry at 54¢ while Portugal’s Yes price is down 8 points today.
$1,066 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
97% winner buying No
A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet bought Portugal No alongside a large 36-wallet one-sided cluster, with the market already moving from the mid-40s to 56¢.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They added $24K on No, with most of the entry around 46¢ before the market moved to 56¢.
- 36 wallets are also buying No, totaling about $926K in same-direction flow.
$24,109 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x640d...9a4c — Outcome 68238163, $3,837,262 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14678374, $1,460,774
- 0xe2dd...4a23 — Outcome 68238163, $925,925 (86% win rate)
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 68238163, $320,552 (100% win rate)
- 0xcc5b...1edc — Outcome 68238163, $196,336 (39% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 68238163, $194,484 (50% win rate)
- 0x82ba...afea — Outcome 68238163, $185,353 (85% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 68238163, $173,939 (96% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 68238163, $158,259 (59% win rate)
- 0xc5a2...6dd9 — Outcome 68238163, $116,181 (100% win rate)
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