Part of: Türkiye vs. United States - More Markets

Spread: United States (-1.5)

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,149.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

88% sports bettor fade move

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% record bought Türkiye on the spread, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved trades and is up $1,506 lifetime.
  • They bought Türkiye at 74¢ shortly before kickoff, taking a strong stand on United States not winning by 2+ goals.
  • Market volume spiked 11.8x, but odds have since moved against this entry to around 56¢.

$2,500 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp cluster on USA spread

Three wallets, including two highly profitable serial sports bettors, bought $20.8k of United States -1.5 before a sharp move from ~26¢ to 44¢.

  • A bettor with an 89% record and $1.45M profit helped lead this United States spread buy.
  • Three wallets bought $20.8k the same way, entering around 26–27¢ before the market jumped to 44¢.
  • Another serial cross-market bettor is up $764k lifetime, adding credibility to the move.

$20,759 on United States

88% winner buying Türkiye

Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit is buying Türkiye on the spread despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,005 events with an 88% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They added $3.4K on Türkiye around 71–72¢, aligning with the market’s recent move toward Türkiye.

$5,603 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner buying Türkiye

Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit is buying Türkiye on the spread despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,005 events with an 88% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They added $3.4K on Türkiye around 71–72¢, aligning with the market’s recent move toward Türkiye.

$3,369 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% winner backs Türkiye

Surfaced despite a weak alert score because the bettor has an exceptional 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $230k lifetime.
  • They are backing Türkiye at 69¢ on a liquid World Cup spread market.
  • The wallet has been flagged repeatedly before, suggesting this is not a one-off bet.

$2,208 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 55%

94% win-rate sports sharp

Surface despite the weak alert score because this is a highly proven sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit buying Türkiye at 69¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $374,576 lifetime.
  • They have a deep track record: 703 resolved bets with over $1.1M invested.
  • Buying Türkiye at 69¢ suggests they see the underdog spread side as still mispriced.

$1,656 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite sports sharp on underdog spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $870k lifetime profit is buying Türkiye on a liquid World Cup spread market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $871k lifetime.
  • They put $5.5k on Türkiye at 69¢, backing the side that wins if the United States fails to win by 2+ goals.
  • The market is liquid with a tight spread, so the signal comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.

$5,520 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs Türkiye

Proven sharp wallet with 88% win rate and +$3.3M lifetime P&L is buying Türkiye on the spread, supported by extensive profitable cross-market history.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,208 markets with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The buy at 72¢ backs Türkiye to cover against the United States -1.5 spread.

$1,610 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs Türkiye

Proven sharp wallet with 88% win rate and +$3.3M lifetime P&L is buying Türkiye on the spread, supported by extensive profitable cross-market history.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,208 markets with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The buy at 72¢ backs Türkiye to cover against the United States -1.5 spread.

$1,759 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime profit is buying Türkiye on the spread in a liquid World Cup market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 214 events with over $1.09M in tracked volume.
  • Buying Türkiye at 70¢ suggests confidence that the United States will not win by 2+ goals.

$1,750 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 69297334, $249,911 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 69297334, $85,000 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 69297334, $23,979 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 69297334, $17,244 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x8a80...11c5 Outcome 69297334, $14,959 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x14e7...a32c Outcome 69297334, $10,628 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 69297334, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  8. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 69297334, $5,555 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 69297334, $5,525 (55% win rate)
  10. 0xf93f...f94b Outcome 69297334, $5,213 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: United States (-1.5)

ResolvedTürkiye vs. United States - More Markets$103,149 tracked16 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Türkiye". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Türkiye
84¢
75¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$2,500 on Türkiye at 74¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$20,759 on United States at 26¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$5,603 on Türkiye at 72¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$3,369 on Türkiye at 72¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$2,208 on Türkiye at 69¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,656 on Türkiye at 69¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$5,520 on Türkiye at 69¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,610 on Türkiye at 72¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,759 on Türkiye at 72¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,750 on Türkiye at 70¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,750 on Türkiye at 70¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

6d ago

$48,187 on Türkiye at 92¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,750 on Türkiye at 70¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,138 on Türkiye at 72¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

10d ago

$1,784 on Türkiye at 73¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

10d ago

$1,808 on Türkiye at 73¢

Related Theses