Part of: Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Swedish Open tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante, scheduled for July 17, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 24, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $97,183 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including recent sharp interest on both Tabilo and Tirante.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,076.
Categories: Games, Sports, Tennis
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins Tabilo cluster
A profitable serial sports bettor is adding a large Tabilo position alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $60.8K lifetime.
- They have now put over $53K into the same Tabilo side, adding again at 57¢.
- Four wallets bought the same outcome for $68.5K total during a major volume spike.
$21,343 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 85%
Five-wallet Tirante push
Five wallets added nearly $60k on Tirante during a major pre-event volume spike, including at least one bettor with a strong resolved-bet record, though there is also heavy opposing flow.
- Five wallets bought nearly $60k of Tirante in about 90 seconds.
- One buyer wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $17.5k lifetime.
- This is not one-way flow: another cluster put $68k on Tabilo, so the match is attracting sharp money on both sides.
$59,868 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
4-wallet one-sided push
Coordinated one-sided buying and a huge pre-match volume spike make this Tabilo position worth surfacing despite only a modest wallet-level edge.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $68k, including this $16k buy at 51¢.
- Market volume spiked nearly 1,190x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction ahead of play.
- This is a high-volume bettor with 3,819 resolved trades and $430k in lifetime profit.
$15,972 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 58%
79% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $1.0M+ P&L is making a $10k pre-match buy, alongside a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 109 events and $1.88M traded with the same 79% win rate.
- A $10k buy at 56¢ came during a 687x pre-event volume spike.
$10,000 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 79%
85% winner adding size
Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is adding nearly $30k to an existing Alejandro Tabilo position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $60.8k lifetime.
- They added nearly $30k on Alejandro Tabilo and already hold a $53k position at roughly the same price.
- Market activity spiked 687x before the match, with this wallet driving a large one-sided bet.
$29,893 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xd9e0...05f2 — Outcome 98669937, $2,400 (51% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 88071826, $2,115 (77% win rate)
- 0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 88071826, $2,045 (98% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 88071826, $1,267
- 0xfc81...e072 — Outcome 88071826, $366
- 0x1144...4b04 — Outcome 88071826, $306
- 0x294b...22d2 — Outcome 88071826, $222
- 0x5210...bd53 — Outcome 88071826, $113
- 0x9a51...bf4c — Outcome 88071826, $92
- 0x64e8...7819 — Outcome 88071826, $80
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