Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $186,715.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

90% winner on NBA spread

Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate bought Pistons +4.5 at 50% and the market has already moved to 55%.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $1.78M lifetime.
They bought Pistons +4.5 at 50%, and the price has already moved to 55%.
Market volume is surging before tipoff, with a 215x spike versus its usual activity.

$3,540 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial sports bettor

High-volume NBA event action from a profitable serial cross-market bettor, reinforced by a major pre-event volume spike and one-sided flow from 4 wallets.

This bettor has won 63% of 452 resolved trades and is up $575K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.1M deployed across 277 events.
Four wallets are also betting the same direction, with over $50K in one-sided flow before tipoff.

$58,374 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 61%

90% winner joins $115K cluster

A $115K one-sided Pistons spread cluster is backed by a 90% lifetime winner with $1.78M profit and a major pre-game volume spike.

A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades is backing Pistons and is up $1.78M lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $115K, including one $106K entry at 52¢.
Volume is surging before tipoff, with activity over 600x the historical average.

$115,195 on Pistons

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven profitable sports trader with a 72% resolved win rate and $134k lifetime profit is buying Cavaliers -4.5 at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $134k lifetime.
They have traded across 36 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 49¢ is near coin-flip pricing on a liquid NBA spread.

$3,080 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large resolved history and positive lifetime P&L bought Pistons +4.5 at 52¢, though the alert signal itself is modest.

This bettor has a deep track record: 649 resolved bets and $71.7K in lifetime profit.
They have traded across 102 events, suggesting this is part of a consistent sports-betting process.
Entry at 52¢ on Pistons +4.5 is close to the market price, so this is a follow-the-bettor signal rather than a big mispricing signal.

$1,560 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 60%

98% win sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Pistons +4.5 at 52¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor has won 135 of 138 resolved bets and is up $139K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 122 events with a 98% hit rate.
Buying Pistons at 52¢ suggests confidence they cover +4.5 in a near-even market.

$3,120 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable new NBA bettor

A 5-day-old wallet with early profitability is making another meaningful Cavaliers spread bet, repeating a large-bet pattern despite a small resolved sample.

This 5-day-old bettor is already up $2,115 and has won all 4 resolved bets.
This is their second flagged large bet, with $3,036 total flagged across early activity.
They bought Cavaliers at 49¢ in a liquid market, implying confidence near an even-money spread.

$1,845 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0x0549...c052 — Outcome 51659382, $52,000 (65% win rate)
0xe169...4653 — Outcome 51659382, $7,098 (77% win rate)
0x089f...fe64 — Outcome 51659382, $3,765 (100% win rate)
0x1420...9daa — Outcome 51659382, $1,990 (74% win rate)
0xea48...c596 — Outcome 51659382, $1,431 (95% win rate)
0x1895...efd2 — Outcome 51659382, $1,316 (46% win rate)
0x8180...f4da — Outcome 51659382, $1,000 (53% win rate)
0x72a6...cfef — Outcome 51659382, $878 (62% win rate)
0xe73b...8f0a — Outcome 51659382, $692
0x33a7...e607 — Outcome 51659382, $600 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Cavaliers keep low-scoring game close

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring close game

Covers 6 related markets

Spurs win low-scoring close game

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Cavaliers upset Knicks in shootout

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

ResolvedPistons vs. Cavaliers$186,715 tracked7 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DET

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60-22

Rocket Arena

CLE

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52-30

Draft Kings

Spread: CLE -3.5O/U: 209.5ML: +145/-175

Win Prob

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Last Play